Burreli vs Pogradeci — 1st Division
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Burreli and Pogradeci meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Burreli have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Pogradeci have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.04 for Burreli and 1.41 for Pogradeci. The models give Burreli a 23% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pogradeci win at 51%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Burreli
PogradeciHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Burreli | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 67% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Burreli | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 67% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 80% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 33% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Burreli | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 63% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Burreli | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Burreli (H)
FK Kukesi1–2
Besëlidhja Lezhë0–0
Eagle FA2–3
Sopoti Librazhd1–3
Kastrioti Krujë2–2
Lushnja1–0Pogradeci (A)
Bylis2–2
Korabi Peshkopi2–0FK Kukesi3–0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0
Teuta Durrës0–1
Luftëtari0–3Head to Head · 14 matches
PogradeciBurreliPogradeciPogradeciPogradeciBurreliPogradeciPogradeciBurreliPogradeciBurreliPogradeciBurreliPogradeci| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Besa Kavajë | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Flamurtari | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | FK Kukesi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Bylis | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Kastrioti Krujë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Sopoti Librazhd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Burreli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Oriku | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Burreli- ●Burreli have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burreli have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Burreli's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Burreli's points have been earned away.
Pogradeci- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Pogradeci's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Pogradeci's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
BurreliFK Kukesi1–2Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–1Besëlidhja Lezhë0–0Oriku1–0Sopoti Librazhd1–3Flamurtari1–1Korabi Peshkopi28/10Bylis01/11Besa Kavajë07/11PogradeciBylis2–2Sopoti Librazhd2–2Korabi Peshkopi2–0Flamurtari0–0FK Kukesi3–0Kastrioti Krujë2–1Oriku28/10Besa Kavajë01/11Besëlidhja Lezhë07/11Top Scorers
BurreliPogradeci