Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë — 1st Division
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Pogradeci and Besëlidhja Lezhë meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Pogradeci have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Besëlidhja Lezhë have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for Pogradeci and 0.70 for Besëlidhja Lezhë. The models give Pogradeci a 56% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Besëlidhja Lezhë win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
PogradeciBesëlidhja LezhëHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pogradeci | Home | Away | Besëlidhja Lezhë | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 80% | 60% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| Pogradeci | Home | Away | Besëlidhja Lezhë | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 60% | 20% | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 40% | 80% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pogradeci | Besëlidhja Lezhë | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pogradeci | Besëlidhja Lezhë | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Pogradeci (H)
Sopoti Librazhd2–2
Delvina7–0
Flamurtari0–0
Kastrioti Krujë2–1
Besa Kavajë1–1Besa Kavajë1–0Besëlidhja Lezhë (A)Flamurtari0–1
Burreli0–0
Bylis0–0
FK Kukesi0–2
Korabi Peshkopi0–0
Apolonia Fier0–3Head to Head · 5 matches
Besëlidhja LezhëPogradeciPogradeciBesëlidhja LezhëPogradeci| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavajë | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | FK Kukesi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Bylis | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Besëlidhja Lezhë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Kastrioti Krujë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Sopoti Librazhd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Burreli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Oriku | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Pogradeci- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Pogradeci's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Pogradeci's points have been earned away.
Besëlidhja Lezhë- ●Besëlidhja Lezhë have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Besëlidhja Lezhë's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
PogradeciBylis2–2Sopoti Librazhd2–2Korabi Peshkopi2–0Flamurtari0–0FK Kukesi3–0Kastrioti Krujë2–1Oriku28/10Besa Kavajë01/11Besëlidhja Lezhë07/11Besëlidhja LezhëFlamurtari0–1Kastrioti Krujë4–1Burreli0–0Besa Kavajë2–1Bylis0–0Korabi Peshkopi1–2Sopoti Librazhd28/10Oriku01/11Pogradeci07/11Top Scorers
PogradeciBesëlidhja LezhëCards Given
PogradeciBesëlidhja Lezhë