Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci — 1st Division
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Besa Kavajë and Pogradeci meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Besa Kavajë have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Pogradeci have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Besa Kavajë and 1.13 for Pogradeci. The models give Besa Kavajë a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pogradeci win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Besa Kavajë—
Pogradeci1º
Position
2º
1.86
PPG
1.86
57%
Win %
43%
2.43
Goals / game
1.57
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
50%
BTTS %
40%
42%
Clean sheet %
60%
58%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Besa Kavajë
Home (4)
—
Pogradeci
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
2.00
75%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
1.75
0.75
Conceded / game
0.50
43%
BTTS %
20%
57%
Clean sheet %
80%
57%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Besa Kavajë | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 80% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 86% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 43% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Besa Kavajë | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 43% | 80% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 14% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 57% | 20% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Besa Kavajë | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Besa Kavajë | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 8% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Besa Kavajë (H)W
Korabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0W
Iliria Fushë-Krujë2–0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë2–0W
Devolli4–1
Devolli4–1W
Oriku5–0
Oriku5–0D
Flamurtari3–3
Flamurtari3–3W
Partizani2–1
Partizani2–1Pogradeci (A)D
Bylis2–2
Bylis2–2WKorabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0W
FK Kukesi3–0
FK Kukesi3–0DIliria Fushë-Krujë0–0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0L
Teuta Durrës0–1
Teuta Durrës0–1L
Luftëtari0–3
Luftëtari0–3Head to Head · 23 matches
6
Besa Kavajë
26%
6
Draws
26%
11
Pogradeci
48%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
39%
Over 2.5
9/23
17%
Over 3.5
4/23
48%
BTTS
11/23
25/07/26Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
1–1Besa Kavajë11/05/26Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
1–0Besa Kavajë14/03/26Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
2–3Pogradeci17/01/26Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
0–0Besa Kavajë19/10/25Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
1–1Pogradeci28/04/25Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
0–1Pogradeci15/03/25Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
0–1Besa Kavajë02/12/24Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
0–0Pogradeci11/09/24Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
0–2Besa Kavajë29/01/22Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
0–3Pogradeci13/10/21Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
2–0Besa Kavajë22/09/21Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
1–0Pogradeci18/09/21Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
0–0Besa Kavajë08/05/21Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
1–2Pogradeci18/04/21Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
1–3Besa Kavajë21/02/21Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
2–1Besa Kavajë07/11/20Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
2–1Pogradeci05/07/20Besa Kavajë
Pogradeci
2–0Besa Kavajë14/06/20Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
3–2Pogradeci23/02/20Pogradeci
Besa Kavajë
0–2Pogradeci| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besa Kavajë | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogradeci | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | FK Kukesi | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Bylis | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Besëlidhja Lezhë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  Kastrioti Krujë | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Sopoti Librazhd | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Burreli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Oriku | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Besa Kavajë- ●Besa Kavajë have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Besa Kavajë have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Besa Kavajë have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Besa Kavajë have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●71% of Besa Kavajë's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Besa Kavajë's points have been earned at home.
Pogradeci- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Pogradeci's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Pogradeci's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Besa KavajëWHKorabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0LAFK Kukesi0–2
FK Kukesi0–2WHIliria Fushë-Krujë2–0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë2–0LABesëlidhja Lezhë1–2
Besëlidhja Lezhë1–2WHOriku5–0
Oriku5–0WASopoti Librazhd4–0
Sopoti Librazhd4–0–ABylis28/10
Bylis28/10–HPogradeci01/11
Pogradeci01/11–HBurreli07/11
Burreli07/11PogradeciDABylis2–2
Bylis2–2DHSopoti Librazhd2–2
Sopoti Librazhd2–2WAKorabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0DHFlamurtari0–0
Flamurtari0–0WAFK Kukesi3–0
FK Kukesi3–0WHKastrioti Krujë2–1
Kastrioti Krujë2–1–HOriku28/10
Oriku28/10–ABesa Kavajë01/11
Besa Kavajë01/11–HBesëlidhja Lezhë07/11
Besëlidhja Lezhë07/11Top Scorers
Besa KavajëM. Ruzgis5 ⚽
R. Danaj3 ⚽
F. Prengaj3 ⚽
H. Rrena2 ⚽
Sylas2 ⚽
E. Spahiu2 ⚽
PogradeciS. Kazeem5 ⚽
G. Chinwendu3 ⚽
M. Shanaj3 ⚽
G. Lleshaj3 ⚽
U. Kambato2 ⚽
1 ⚽