Albania · 1st Division · Regular Season - 8

Pogradeci

2º · 1.86 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 1h

–

Oriku

12º · 0.14 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 4d 1h

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Pogradeci and Oriku meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Pogradeci have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Oriku have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Pogradeci and 0.79 for Oriku. The models give Pogradeci a 65% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Oriku win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 44%.

Season Statistics

Pogradeci

—

Oriku

2º

Position

12º

1.86

PPG

0.14

43%

Win %

1.57

Goals / game

0.43

0.71

Conceded / game

2.29

40%

BTTS %

50%

60%

Clean sheet %

50%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Pogradeci

Home (3)

—

Oriku

Away (4)

1.67

PPG

0.25

33%

Win %

1.33

Goals / game

0.25

1.00

Conceded / game

2.25

60%

BTTS %

25%

40%

Clean sheet %

60%

Over 2.5 %

25%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Pogradeci	Home	Away	Oriku	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	70%	80%	60%	50%	75%	25%
Over 1.5 Scored	60%	60%	60%	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	30%	20%	40%	50%	25%	75%

Goals Conceded

	Pogradeci	Home	Away	Oriku	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	40%	60%	20%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	20%	20%	20%	63%	75%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	25%	25%	25%
Clean Sheets	60%	40%	80%	0%	0%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Pogradeci	Oriku
Over 0.5	70%	100%
Over 1.5	70%	75%
Over 2.5	50%	50%
Over 3.5	30%	25%
Over 4.5	10%	25%
BTTS	40%	50%
BTTS & Win	10%	0%
BTTS & Draw	30%	13%
BTTS & Over 2.5	30%	38%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	20%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Pogradeci	Oriku
Win 1st Half	40%	0%
Draw 1st Half	60%	63%
Loss 1st Half	0%	38%
Scored 1st Half	60%	0%
Conceded 1st Half	20%	38%
Win 2nd Half	30%	0%
Draw 2nd Half	60%	25%
Loss 2nd Half	10%	75%
Scored 2nd Half	50%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	30%	100%
Over 0.5 HT	60%	38%
Over 1.5 HT	20%	13%

Recent Venue Form

Pogradeci (H)

Sopoti Librazhd2–2

Delvina7–0

Flamurtari0–0

Kastrioti Krujë2–1

Besa Kavajë1–1

Besa Kavajë1–0

Oriku (A)

Sopoti Librazhd1–1

Kastrioti Krujë0–2

Besa Kavajë0–5

Korabi Peshkopi0–1

Luftëtari0–2

FK Kukesi0–1

Head to Head · 9 matches

Pogradeci

44%

Draws

11%

Oriku

44%

56%

Over 1.5

5/9

33%

Over 2.5

3/9

11%

Over 3.5

1/9

44%

BTTS

4/9

03/03/24

Pogradeci

1–0

Oriku

22/10/23

Oriku

1–1

Pogradeci

18/10/23

Oriku

2–0

Pogradeci

14/05/22

Pogradeci

1–2

Oriku

01/11/20

Pogradeci

9–1

Oriku

21/12/19

Pogradeci

1–0

Oriku

28/09/19

Oriku

1–0

Pogradeci

08/12/18

Pogradeci

2–1

Oriku

22/09/18

Oriku

1–0

Pogradeci

1st Division

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Besa Kavajë	7	4	1	2	+10	13
2	Pogradeci	7	3	4	0	+6	13
3	Flamurtari	7	3	3	1	+5	12
4	FK Kukesi	7	4	0	3	+2	12
5	Iliria Fushë-Krujë	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Bylis	7	2	5	0	+2	11
7	Besëlidhja Lezhë	7	2	2	3	0	8
8	Kastrioti Krujë	7	2	2	3	-2	8
9	Korabi Peshkopi	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Sopoti Librazhd	7	1	4	2	-4	7
11	Burreli	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Oriku	7	0	1	6	-13	1

Team Insights

Pogradeci

●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●64% of Pogradeci's goals have been scored away.
●62% of Pogradeci's points have been earned away.