Mosul vs Ghaz Al Shamal — Iraqi League
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Mosul and Ghaz Al Shamal meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 11 December 2026. Mosul have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Ghaz Al Shamal have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 0.58 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Mosul and 1.06 for Ghaz Al Shamal. The models give Mosul a 38% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ghaz Al Shamal win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
MosulGhaz Al ShamalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mosul | Home | Away | Ghaz Al | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Mosul | Home | Away | Ghaz Al | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 58% | 40% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 42% | 60% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mosul | Ghaz Al | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mosul | Ghaz Al | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Mosul (H)
Al-Jolan SC2–4
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–3
Naft0–1
Al Zawra'a2–2
Karbala3–0
Diyala2–1Ghaz Al (A)
Erbil1–1
Al Minaa Basra0–2
Al Shorta0–0
Duhok1–1
Gharraf1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Karma | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Newroz | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Al Shorta | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Al-Jolan SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Erbil | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Duhok | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Diyala | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 |  Zakho | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Mosul | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |  Naft Maysan | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Al Kahrabaa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Mosul- ●Mosul have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Mosul have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Mosul's goals have been scored at home.
Ghaz Al- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ghaz Al Shamal have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ghaz Al Shamal failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Ghaz Al Shamal's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
MosulAl-Jolan SC2–4Al Karkh1–1Erbil1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–3Naft0–1Zakho1–2Duhok05/11Naft Maysan21/11Gharraf27/11Ghaz AlErbil1–1Naft Maysan1–0Al Zawra'a1–0Al Minaa Basra0–2Newroz0–0Al Shorta0–0Al Talaba06/11Al Karkh19/11Al-Karma27/11Top Scorers
MosulGhaz AlCards Given
MosulGhaz Al