Gharraf vs Mosul — Iraqi League
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Gharraf and Mosul meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Gharraf have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Mosul have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Gharraf and 0.78 for Mosul. The models give Gharraf a 42% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Mosul win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Gharraf
MosulHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gharraf | Home | Away | Mosul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 57% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 60% | 43% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Gharraf | Home | Away | Mosul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 40% | 86% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 60% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gharraf | Mosul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gharraf | Mosul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Gharraf (H)
Naft0–0
Al-Jolan SC0–0
Al Shorta1–2
Ghaz Al Shamal0–1
Newroz1–0
Naft Maysan0–2Mosul (A)
Al Karkh1–1
Erbil1–0
Zakho1–2Newroz0–3Al Shorta0–2
Al-Karma1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
GharrafMosul| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 | Newroz | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Al Shorta | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 | Al-Jolan SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 | Erbil | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Al Minaa Basra | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Duhok | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Diyala | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Zakho | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Mosul | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 19 |  Al Kahrabaa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Karbala | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Gharraf- ●Gharraf have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Gharraf have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gharraf have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gharraf have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gharraf have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gharraf failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Gharraf's goals have been scored away.
- ●79% of Gharraf's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●62% of Gharraf's points have been earned away.
- ●Gharraf have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Mosul- ●Mosul have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Mosul have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Mosul failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Mosul's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
GharrafAl Karkh2–1Naft0–0Karbala2–1Al-Jolan SC0–0Al Zawra'a0–2Diyala1–3Erbil08/11Al Quwa Al Jawiya19/11Mosul27/11MosulAl-Jolan SC2–4Al Karkh1–1Erbil1–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–3Naft0–1Zakho1–2Duhok05/11Naft Maysan21/11Gharraf27/11Top Scorers
GharrafMosulCards Given
GharrafMosul