Al Minaa Basra vs Karbala — Iraqi League
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Al Minaa Basra and Karbala meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. Al Minaa Basra have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Karbala have won 9% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Al Minaa Basra and 0.85 for Karbala. The models give Al Minaa Basra a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Karbala win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Al Minaa BasraKarbalaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Al Minaa | Home | Away | Karbala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 86% | 25% | 64% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 57% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 14% | 75% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Al Minaa | Home | Away | Karbala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 71% | 75% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 14% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 14% | 0% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al Minaa | Karbala | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS | 45% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al Minaa | Karbala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 9% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Al Minaa (H)
Al-Karma2–1
Ghaz Al Shamal2–0
Duhok1–1
Naft Maysan1–1
Naft0–3
Gharraf3–0Karbala (A)Duhok2–5
Al Kahrabaa0–0Naft1–2Al-Karma0–2
Mosul0–3
Al Shorta1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
KarbalaAl Minaa BasraKarbalaAl Minaa Basra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Al Minaa- ●Al Minaa Basra have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●92% of Al Minaa Basra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Al Minaa Basra's points have been earned at home.
Karbala- ●Karbala have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Karbala have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Karbala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Karbala have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Al MinaaAl-Karma2–1Newroz0–2Ghaz Al Shamal2–0Duhok1–1Al Kahrabaa1–2Naft Maysan1–1Al Quwa Al Jawiya29/10Diyala06/11Karbala20/11KarbalaDuhok2–5Gharraf1–2Al Kahrabaa0–0Erbil0–3Naft1–2Al Quwa Al Jawiya2–3Al Talaba30/10Newroz06/11Al Minaa Basra20/11Top Scorers
Al MinaaKarbalaCards Given
Al MinaaKarbala