Erbil vs Gharraf — Iraqi League
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Erbil and Gharraf meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Erbil have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Gharraf have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 0.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Erbil and 0.78 for Gharraf. The models give Erbil a 58% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gharraf win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Erbil
GharrafHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Erbil | Home | Away | Gharraf | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 83% | 83% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 17% | 17% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Erbil | Home | Away | Gharraf | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 64% | 40% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Erbil | Gharraf | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS | 42% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Erbil | Gharraf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 58% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 18% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Erbil (H)
Mosul0–1
Al-Karma1–2
Diyala2–0
Al Minaa Basra2–0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1
Al Kahrabaa2–0Gharraf (A)
Karbala2–1
Al Zawra'a0–2Diyala1–3Al Kahrabaa0–0Al Minaa Basra0–3
Duhok1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
ErbilGharraf| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 |  Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Erbil | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Zawra'a | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Shorta | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Al-Jolan SC | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 | Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Minaa Basra | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Diyala | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 | Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Gharraf | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Erbil- ●Erbil have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Erbil have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Erbil have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Erbil have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Gharraf- ●Gharraf have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gharraf have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gharraf have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gharraf have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gharraf failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●77% of Gharraf's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ErbilZakho1–2Mosul0–1Naft Maysan1–1Karbala3–0Al-Karma1–2Diyala2–0Ghaz Al Shamal31/10Gharraf06/11Duhok20/11GharrafNaft0–0Karbala2–1Al-Jolan SC0–0Al Zawra'a0–2Diyala1–3Al Shorta1–2Al Karkh31/10Erbil06/11Al Quwa Al Jawiya20/11Top Scorers
ErbilGharrafCards Given
ErbilGharraf