Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra — Iraqi League
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Diyala and Al Minaa Basra meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Diyala have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Al Minaa Basra have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Diyala and 0.88 for Al Minaa Basra. The models give Diyala a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Al Minaa Basra win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Diyala | Home | Away | Al Minaa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 50% | 64% | 86% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 80% | 17% | 36% | 57% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 40% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 0% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Diyala | Home | Away | Al Minaa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 40% | 67% | 36% | 14% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 20% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Diyala | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 64% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Diyala | Al Minaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +12 | 22 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 18 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Diyala have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Diyala have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Diyala have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Diyala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Diyala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Diyala's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Diyala's points have been earned at home.
- ●Diyala have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Al Minaa Basra have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●92% of Al Minaa Basra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Al Minaa Basra's points have been earned at home.