Iraq · Iraqi League · Regular Season - 12

Erbil

5º · 1.64 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 9d 2h

–

Ghaz Al Shamal

15º · 1.10 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 1h

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Erbil and Ghaz Al Shamal meet in the Iraqi League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Erbil have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Ghaz Al Shamal have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 40%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Erbil and 0.69 for Ghaz Al Shamal. The models give Erbil a 52% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ghaz Al Shamal win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 35%.

Season Statistics

Erbil

—

Ghaz Al Shamal

5º

Position

15º

1.64

PPG

1.10

45%

Win %

20%

1.27

Goals / game

0.50

0.64

Conceded / game

0.70

42%

BTTS %

30%

50%

Clean sheet %

40%

33%

Over 2.5 %

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Erbil

Home (6)

—

Ghaz Al Shamal

Away (6)

1.67

PPG

1.00

50%

Win %

17%

1.33

Goals / game

0.50

0.67

Conceded / game

0.83

33%

BTTS %

33%

50%

Clean sheet %

33%

17%

Over 2.5 %

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Erbil	Home	Away	Ghaz Al	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	83%	83%	83%	50%	50%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	42%	50%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Scored	17%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	17%	17%	17%	50%	50%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Erbil	Home	Away	Ghaz Al	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	50%	50%	50%	60%	50%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	25%	17%	33%	10%	0%	17%
Over 2.5 Conceded	8%	0%	17%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	50%	50%	50%	40%	50%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Erbil	Ghaz Al
Over 0.5	92%	80%
Over 1.5	75%	40%
Over 2.5	33%	0%
Over 3.5	8%	0%
Over 4.5	8%	0%
BTTS	42%	30%
BTTS & Win	0%	0%
BTTS & Draw	17%	30%
BTTS & Over 2.5	25%	0%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	8%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Erbil	Ghaz Al
Win 1st Half	58%	20%
Draw 1st Half	33%	60%
Loss 1st Half	8%	20%
Scored 1st Half	58%	30%
Conceded 1st Half	17%	30%
Win 2nd Half	33%	20%
Draw 2nd Half	33%	40%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	40%
Scored 2nd Half	58%	20%
Conceded 2nd Half	42%	40%
Over 0.5 HT	67%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	10%

Recent Venue Form

Erbil (H)

Mosul0–1

Al-Karma1–2

Diyala2–0

Al Minaa Basra2–0

Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1

Al Kahrabaa2–0

Ghaz Al (A)

Al Minaa Basra0–2

Al Shorta0–0

Duhok1–1

Gharraf1–0

Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1

Zakho0–1

Iraqi League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Karma	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Newroz	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Naft	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Al Shorta	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Erbil	11	5	3	3	+7	18
6	Al Zawra'a	11	5	3	3	+6	18
6	Al Shorta	10	4	5	1	+5	17
7	Al-Jolan SC	11	4	5	2	+2	17
8	Duhok	11	3	6	2	+4	15
9	Al Minaa Basra	11	4	3	4	-1	15
10	Al Talaba	11	3	5	3	-3	14
11	Diyala	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	11	2	6	3	+1	12
13	Mosul	11	3	3	5	-5	12
14	Zakho	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Ghaz Al Shamal	10	2	5	3	-2	11
16	Gharraf	11	2	4	5	-7	10
17	Al Karkh	11	2	3	6	-5	9
18	Al Kahrabaa	11	1	5	5	-6	8
19	Naft Maysan	10	1	5	4	-7	8
20	Karbala	11	1	3	7	-13	6