Chernomorets Balchik vs Ludogorets III — Third League - Northeast
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Chernomorets Balchik and Ludogorets III meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Chernomorets Balchik have recorded 9 wins from 13 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 62% of games. Ludogorets III have won 83% of their 12 matches, with 2.42 goals scored and 0.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 58%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Chernomorets Balchik and 1.26 for Ludogorets III. The models give Chernomorets Balchik a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ludogorets III win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Chernomorets Balchik | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 100% | 57% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 67% | 43% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 17% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 0% | 43% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Chernomorets Balchik | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 50% | 29% | 42% | 67% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 62% | 50% | 71% | 58% | 33% | 83% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chernomorets Balchik | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 17% |
| BTTS | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chernomorets Balchik | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 62% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 15% | 8% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +24 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 26 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of Ludogorets III's goals have been scored at home.