Cherno more II vs Septemvri Dragoevo — Third League - Northeast
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Cherno more II and Septemvri Dragoevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Cherno more II have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Septemvri Dragoevo have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.35 for Cherno more II and 1.15 for Septemvri Dragoevo. The models give Cherno more II a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Septemvri Dragoevo win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cherno more | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 86% | 50% | 75% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 71% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 43% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 14% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Cherno more | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 86% | 100% | 92% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 14% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cherno more | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 50% |
| BTTS | 64% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cherno more | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +24 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 26 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Cherno more II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cherno more II have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cherno more II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cherno more II have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●89% of Cherno more II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Cherno more II's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cherno more II have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Septemvri Dragoevo's goals have been scored at home.