Aksakovo vs Ustrem Donchevo — Third League - Northeast
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Aksakovo and Ustrem Donchevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Aksakovo have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 2.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 89% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Ustrem Donchevo have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 2.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 91%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.51 for Aksakovo and 1.48 for Ustrem Donchevo. The models give Aksakovo a 53% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Ustrem Donchevo win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Aksakovo—
Ustrem Donchevo16º
Position
14º
0.89
PPG
0.91
22%
Win %
27%
1.89
Goals / game
2.09
2.78
Conceded / game
2.91
89%
BTTS %
100%
11%
Clean sheet %
0%
78%
Over 2.5 %
91%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Aksakovo
Home (4)
—
Ustrem Donchevo
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
0.60
50%
Win %
20%
2.75
Goals / game
1.40
1.75
Conceded / game
3.00
75%
BTTS %
100%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Aksakovo | Home | Away | Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 64% | 83% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 50% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Aksakovo | Home | Away | Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 56% | 25% | 80% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aksakovo | Ustrem Donchevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 | 78% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 | 67% | 73% |
| BTTS | 89% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 91% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aksakovo | Ustrem Donchevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 82% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 64% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 73% |
Recent Venue Form
Aksakovo (H)D
Volov Shumen1–1
Volov Shumen1–1W
Svetkavitsa 146–0
Svetkavitsa 146–0W
Olympic Varna3–2
Olympic Varna3–2L
Chernomorets Balchik1–4
Chernomorets Balchik1–4W
Fratria II3–1
Fratria II3–1L
Benkovski Isperih0–1
Benkovski Isperih0–1Ustrem Donchevo (A)WFratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1L
Devnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2LBenkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3L
Riltzi1–4
Riltzi1–4L
Botev Novi Pazar1–5
Botev Novi Pazar1–5WRiltzi4–2
Riltzi4–2Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Aksakovo
25%
0
Draws
0%
3
Ustrem Donchevo
75%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
100%
Over 3.5
4/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
11/04/26Ustrem Donchevo
Aksakovo
2–3Ustrem Donchevo04/10/25Aksakovo
Ustrem Donchevo
5–0Aksakovo29/03/25Aksakovo
Ustrem Donchevo
3–2Aksakovo21/09/24Ustrem Donchevo
Aksakovo
3–1Ustrem Donchevo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ludogorets III | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 26 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 22 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Septemvri Tervel | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Benkovski Isperih | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cherno more II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Dragoevo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Riltzi | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Devnya 2005 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Ustrem Donchevo | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Aksakovo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dorostol | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aksakovo- ●Aksakovo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Aksakovo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aksakovo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aksakovo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aksakovo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Aksakovo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Aksakovo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aksakovo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Aksakovo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Aksakovo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●72% of Aksakovo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Aksakovo's points have been earned at home.
Ustrem Donchevo- ●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AksakovoLABenkovski Isperih1–4
Benkovski Isperih1–4DHVolov Shumen1–1
Volov Shumen1–1WHSvetkavitsa 146–0
Svetkavitsa 146–0WHOlympic Varna3–2
Olympic Varna3–2LACherno more II1–3
Cherno more II1–3LHChernomorets Balchik1–4
Chernomorets Balchik1–4–HSeptemvri Tervel07/11
Septemvri Tervel07/11–ADevnya 200514/11
Devnya 200514/11–ABotev Novi Pazar18/11
Botev Novi Pazar18/11Ustrem DonchevoWHSeptemvri Dragoevo4–2
Septemvri Dragoevo4–2WAFratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1WHDorostol4–3
Dorostol4–3LADevnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2DHSeptemvri Tervel1–1
Septemvri Tervel1–1LABenkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3–ALudogorets III07/11
Ludogorets III07/11–HChernolomets 191914/11
Chernolomets 191914/11–AChernomorets Balchik21/11
Chernomorets Balchik21/11