Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa 14 — Third League - Northeast
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Septemvri Tervel and Svetkavitsa 14 meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Septemvri Tervel have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Svetkavitsa 14 have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.14 for Septemvri Tervel and 1.09 for Svetkavitsa 14. The models give Septemvri Tervel a 65% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Svetkavitsa 14 win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | Svetkavitsa 14 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 83% | 50% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 50% | 0% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 0% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 17% | 50% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Tervel | Home | Away | Svetkavitsa 14 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 75% | 55% | 33% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 17% | 50% | 27% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% | 45% | 67% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Tervel | Svetkavitsa 14 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS | 40% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Tervel | Svetkavitsa 14 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +24 | 31 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 26 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 12 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Septemvri Tervel have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Tervel have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Tervel have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●86% of Septemvri Tervel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Septemvri Tervel's points have been earned at home.
- ●Septemvri Tervel have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Svetkavitsa 14 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●85% of Svetkavitsa 14's goals conceded were conceded away.