Chernomorets Balchik vs Ustrem Donchevo — Third League - Northeast
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Chernomorets Balchik and Ustrem Donchevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Chernomorets Balchik have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 58% of games. Ustrem Donchevo have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 90%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.44 for Chernomorets Balchik and 1.32 for Ustrem Donchevo. The models give Chernomorets Balchik a 68% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Ustrem Donchevo win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Chernomorets Balchik—
Ustrem Donchevo3º
Position
15º
2.22
PPG
0.70
67%
Win %
20%
1.67
Goals / game
1.90
0.78
Conceded / game
3.00
33%
BTTS %
100%
58%
Clean sheet %
0%
42%
Over 2.5 %
90%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chernomorets Balchik
Home (3)
—
Ustrem Donchevo
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
0.60
100%
Win %
20%
2.33
Goals / game
1.40
1.33
Conceded / game
3.00
50%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chernomorets Balchik | Home | Away | Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 17% | 33% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Chernomorets Balchik | Home | Away | Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 17% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 0% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 58% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chernomorets Balchik | Ustrem Donchevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 70% |
| BTTS | 33% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 90% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chernomorets Balchik | Ustrem Donchevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 58% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Chernomorets Balchik (H)W
Septemvri Tervel2–0
Septemvri Tervel2–0W
Volov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1L
Etar Veliko Tarnovo2–3
Etar Veliko Tarnovo2–3W
Svetkavitsa 141–0
Svetkavitsa 141–0W
Olympic Varna4–3
Olympic Varna4–3W
Aksakovo3–0
Aksakovo3–0Ustrem Donchevo (A)W
Fratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1L
Devnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2L
Benkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3L
Riltzi1–4
Riltzi1–4L
Botev Novi Pazar1–5
Botev Novi Pazar1–5WRiltzi4–2
Riltzi4–2Head to Head · 10 matches
10
Chernomorets Balchik
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Ustrem Donchevo
0%
80%
Over 1.5
8/10
80%
Over 2.5
8/10
70%
Over 3.5
7/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
28/02/26Ustrem Donchevo
Chernomorets Balchik
4–1Ustrem Donchevo23/08/25Chernomorets Balchik
Ustrem Donchevo
1–5Chernomorets Balchik22/03/25Ustrem Donchevo
Chernomorets Balchik
3–0Ustrem Donchevo14/09/24Chernomorets Balchik
Ustrem Donchevo
0–4Chernomorets Balchik03/06/23Ustrem Donchevo
Chernomorets Balchik
4–0Ustrem Donchevo30/11/22Ustrem Donchevo
Chernomorets Balchik
1–0Ustrem Donchevo17/04/22Chernomorets Balchik
Ustrem Donchevo
1–4Chernomorets Balchik10/10/21Ustrem Donchevo
Chernomorets Balchik
1–0Ustrem Donchevo24/04/21Ustrem Donchevo
Chernomorets Balchik
5–1Ustrem Donchevo11/10/20Chernomorets Balchik
Ustrem Donchevo
1–4Chernomorets Balchik| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski Isperih | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 |  Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Chernomorets Balchik- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chernomorets Balchik have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Ustrem Donchevo- ●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Chernomorets BalchikWHSeptemvri Tervel2–0
Septemvri Tervel2–0WARiltzi3–0
Riltzi3–0LABenkovski Isperih0–2
Benkovski Isperih0–2WHVolov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1WHSvetkavitsa 141–0
Svetkavitsa 141–0DABotev Novi Pazar0–0
Botev Novi Pazar0–0–ADevnya 200531/10
Devnya 200531/10–HDorostol07/11
Dorostol07/11–AFratria II14/11
Fratria II14/11Ustrem DonchevoWAFratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1WHDorostol4–3
Dorostol4–3LADevnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2DHSeptemvri Tervel1–1
Septemvri Tervel1–1LABenkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3LHVolov Shumen2–4
Volov Shumen2–4–HSeptemvri Dragoevo31/10
Septemvri Dragoevo31/10–ALudogorets III07/11
Ludogorets III07/11–HChernolomets 191914/11
Chernolomets 191914/11Top Scorers
Chernomorets BalchikT. Myurvet1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Ustrem Donchevo