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Septemvri Tervel vs Olympic Varna — Third League - Northeast

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Bulgaria · Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 14
Septemvri Tervel
Septemvri Tervel
6º · 1.88 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Olympic Varna
Olympic Varna
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
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Septemvri Tervel and Olympic Varna meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Septemvri Tervel have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Olympic Varna have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.59 for Septemvri Tervel and 1.24 for Olympic Varna. The models give Septemvri Tervel a 69% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Olympic Varna win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Septemvri Tervel
—
Olympic Varna
6º
Position
13º
1.88
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
1.63
Goals / game
1.78
1.00
Conceded / game
2.67
44%
BTTS %
60%
33%
Clean sheet %
20%
44%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Septemvri Tervel
Home (5)
—
Olympic Varna
Away (6)
2.20
PPG
0.50
60%
Win %
17%
2.20
Goals / game
1.67
0.80
Conceded / game
3.33
60%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Septemvri TervelHomeAwayOlympic VarnaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%80%50%80%100%67%
Over 1.5 Scored33%60%0%50%50%50%
Over 2.5 Scored22%40%0%30%25%33%
Failed To Score33%20%50%20%0%33%

Goals Conceded

Septemvri TervelHomeAwayOlympic VarnaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%60%75%80%50%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%20%50%70%25%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%25%60%25%83%
Clean Sheets33%40%25%20%50%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Septemvri TervelOlympic Varna
Over 0.589%100%
Over 1.578%90%
Over 2.544%70%
Over 3.511%60%
Over 4.511%50%
BTTS44%60%
BTTS & Win22%20%
BTTS & Draw22%0%
BTTS & Over 2.522%60%
BTTS No & Over 2.522%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Septemvri TervelOlympic Varna
Win 1st Half44%20%
Draw 1st Half33%40%
Loss 1st Half22%40%
Scored 1st Half44%30%
Conceded 1st Half22%50%
Win 2nd Half22%50%
Draw 2nd Half44%10%
Loss 2nd Half33%40%
Scored 2nd Half44%80%
Conceded 2nd Half67%80%
Over 0.5 HT67%70%
Over 1.5 HT33%50%

Recent Venue Form

Septemvri Tervel (H)
DChernolomets 19190–0
WSeptemvri Dragoevo3–0
WFratria II2–1
WDevnya 20055–2
DVolov Shumen1–1
WSpartak Varna II4–1
Olympic Varna (A)
LSvetkavitsa 140–3
LAksakovo2–3
LCherno more II0–2
LChernomorets Balchik3–4
LLudogorets III1–5
WUstrem Donchevo4–3

Head to Head · 2 matches

2
Septemvri Tervel
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Olympic Varna
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
100%
Over 3.5
2/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
10/04/26
Septemvri Tervel
8–0
Olympic Varna
04/10/25
Olympic Varna
0–4
Septemvri Tervel
Third League - Northeast
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Ludogorets III10811+2025
2Volov Shumen10712+1922
3Chernomorets Balchik9621+820
4Svetkavitsa 1410613+619
5Chernolomets 191910532+1318
6Septemvri Tervel8431+515
7Benkovski Isperih8422+514
8Botev Novi Pazar8332+412
9Cherno more II9324+311
10Septemvri Dragoevo10325-811
11Devnya 20059315-810
12Riltzi9315-1010
13Olympic Varna9306-89
14Aksakovo7214-57
15Ustrem Donchevo10217-117
16Fratria II9216-177
17Dorostol9018-161

Team Insights

Septemvri Tervel
  • ●Septemvri Tervel have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Septemvri Tervel have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●85% of Septemvri Tervel's goals have been scored at home.
Olympic Varna
  • ●Olympic Varna have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Olympic Varna have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●83% of Olympic Varna's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Olympic Varna's points have been earned at home.
Septemvri TervelSeptemvri Tervel
LAChernomorets Balchik3º0–2
WADorostol17º1–0
DHChernolomets 19195º0–0
LALudogorets III1º0–3
WHSeptemvri Dragoevo10º3–0
DAUstrem Donchevo15º1–1
WHFratria II16º2–1
WHDevnya 200511º5–2
DHVolov Shumen2º1–1
WHSpartak Varna II15º4–1
Olympic VarnaOlympic Varna
WHRiltzi12º2–0
LASvetkavitsa 144º0–3
WHBotev Novi Pazar8º1–0
LAAksakovo14º2–3
LACherno more II9º0–2
LAChernomorets Balchik3º3–4
LHChernolomets 19195º1–3
LALudogorets III1º1–5
WHSeptemvri Dragoevo10º4–1
WAUstrem Donchevo15º4–3

Season Schedule

Septemvri Tervel
LAChernomorets Balchik0–2
WADorostol1–0
DHChernolomets 19190–0
LALudogorets III0–3
WHSeptemvri Dragoevo3–0
DAUstrem Donchevo1–1
–HCherno more II31/10
–AAksakovo07/11
–HOlympic Varna14/11
Olympic Varna
WHRiltzi2–0
LASvetkavitsa 140–3
WHBotev Novi Pazar1–0
LAAksakovo2–3
LACherno more II0–2
LAChernomorets Balchik3–4
–AVolov Shumen31/10
–HBenkovski Isperih07/11
–ASeptemvri Tervel14/11