Septemvri Dragoevo vs Ludogorets III — Third League - Northeast
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Septemvri Dragoevo and Ludogorets III meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Septemvri Dragoevo have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Ludogorets III have won 83% of their 12 matches, with 2.42 goals scored and 0.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 58%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Septemvri Dragoevo and 1.51 for Ludogorets III. The models give Septemvri Dragoevo a 27% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ludogorets III win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Septemvri Dragoevo—
Ludogorets III10º
Position
1º
1.17
PPG
2.58
33%
Win %
83%
1.58
Goals / game
2.42
2.17
Conceded / game
0.42
67%
BTTS %
33%
8%
Clean sheet %
58%
58%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Septemvri Dragoevo
Home (6)
—
Ludogorets III
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
2.17
50%
Win %
67%
2.17
Goals / game
1.33
1.67
Conceded / game
0.17
67%
BTTS %
0%
0%
Clean sheet %
83%
50%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 83% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | Ludogorets III | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 100% | 83% | 42% | 67% | 17% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 0% | 17% | 58% | 33% | 83% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Septemvri Dragoevo | Ludogorets III | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 8% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Septemvri Dragoevo (H)W
Fratria II4–1
Fratria II4–1L
Botev Novi Pazar0–2
Botev Novi Pazar0–2L
Devnya 20050–2
Devnya 20050–2D
Benkovski Isperih1–1
Benkovski Isperih1–1W
Riltzi4–2
Riltzi4–2W
Aksakovo4–2
Aksakovo4–2Ludogorets III (A)WFratria II1–0
Fratria II1–0WBenkovski Isperih1–0
Benkovski Isperih1–0WDevnya 20053–0
Devnya 20053–0WRiltzi3–0
Riltzi3–0L
Svetkavitsa 140–1
Svetkavitsa 140–1DBotev Novi Pazar0–0
Botev Novi Pazar0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 |  Volov Shumen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +20 | 26 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets Balchik | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 22 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Septemvri Tervel | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Benkovski Isperih | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 16 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cherno more II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 11 | Riltzi | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 |  Olympic Varna | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Devnya 2005 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 |  Ustrem Donchevo | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 | Aksakovo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Dorostol | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Septemvri Dragoevo- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Septemvri Dragoevo's goals have been scored at home.
Ludogorets III- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of Ludogorets III's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Septemvri DragoevoLAUstrem Donchevo2–4
Ustrem Donchevo2–4WHFratria II4–1
Fratria II4–1LHBotev Novi Pazar0–2
Botev Novi Pazar0–2WADorostol1–0
Dorostol1–0LHDevnya 20050–2
Devnya 20050–2LASeptemvri Tervel0–3
Septemvri Tervel0–3–HLudogorets III14/11
Ludogorets III14/11–AChernolomets 191921/11
Chernolomets 191921/11–HChernomorets Balchik28/11
Chernomorets Balchik28/11Ludogorets IIIWAFratria II1–0
Fratria II1–0WHDorostol3–0
Dorostol3–0WABenkovski Isperih1–0
Benkovski Isperih1–0WADevnya 20053–0
Devnya 20053–0WHSeptemvri Tervel3–0
Septemvri Tervel3–0WHVolov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1–HUstrem Donchevo07/11
Ustrem Donchevo07/11–ASeptemvri Dragoevo14/11
Septemvri Dragoevo14/11–HChernolomets 191928/11
Chernolomets 191928/11