Ludogorets III vs Ustrem Donchevo — Third League - Northeast
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Ludogorets III and Ustrem Donchevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Ludogorets III have recorded 9 wins from 11 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 2.55 goals scored and 0.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 55% of games. Ustrem Donchevo have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 90%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.85 for Ludogorets III and 1.18 for Ustrem Donchevo. The models give Ludogorets III a 74% win probability, with a draw at 17% and an Ustrem Donchevo win at 9%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Ludogorets III—
Ustrem Donchevo1º
Position
15º
2.50
PPG
0.70
80%
Win %
20%
2.50
Goals / game
1.90
0.50
Conceded / game
3.00
36%
BTTS %
100%
55%
Clean sheet %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
90%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ludogorets III
Home (5)
—
Ustrem Donchevo
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
0.60
100%
Win %
20%
3.60
Goals / game
1.40
0.80
Conceded / game
3.00
67%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ludogorets III | Home | Away | Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 40% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Ludogorets III | Home | Away | Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 45% | 67% | 20% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 55% | 33% | 80% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ludogorets III | Ustrem Donchevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 70% |
| BTTS | 36% | 100% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 90% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 36% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ludogorets III | Ustrem Donchevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 64% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 9% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Ludogorets III (H)W
Dorostol3–0
Dorostol3–0W
Septemvri Tervel3–0
Septemvri Tervel3–0W
Volov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1W
Olympic Varna5–1
Olympic Varna5–1W
Aksakovo6–1
Aksakovo6–1W
Cherno more II2–1
Cherno more II2–1Ustrem Donchevo (A)W
Fratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1L
Devnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2L
Benkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3L
Riltzi1–4
Riltzi1–4L
Botev Novi Pazar1–5
Botev Novi Pazar1–5WRiltzi4–2
Riltzi4–2Head to Head · 12 matches
9
Ludogorets III
75%
2
Draws
17%
1
Ustrem Donchevo
8%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
58%
Over 2.5
7/12
50%
Over 3.5
6/12
50%
BTTS
6/12
25/04/26Ludogorets III
Ustrem Donchevo
1–3Ludogorets III25/10/25Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
8–0Ustrem Donchevo31/05/25Ludogorets III
Ustrem Donchevo
0–7Ludogorets III18/03/25Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
2–0Ustrem Donchevo19/05/24Ludogorets III
Ustrem Donchevo
0–2Ludogorets III09/12/23Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
1–0Ustrem Donchevo05/03/23Ludogorets III
Ustrem Donchevo
0–6Ludogorets III27/08/22Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
6–2Ustrem Donchevo06/04/22Ludogorets III
Ustrem Donchevo
1–1Ludogorets III28/08/21Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
4–1Ustrem Donchevo21/03/21Ustrem Donchevo
Ludogorets III
1–1Ustrem Donchevo13/09/20Ludogorets III
Ustrem Donchevo
2–1Ludogorets III| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 |  Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski Isperih | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ludogorets III- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 6 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ludogorets III have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Ludogorets III's goals have been scored at home.
Ustrem Donchevo- ●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ludogorets IIIWHDorostol3–0
Dorostol3–0WABenkovski Isperih1–0
Benkovski Isperih1–0WADevnya 20053–0
Devnya 20053–0WHSeptemvri Tervel3–0
Septemvri Tervel3–0WHVolov Shumen2–1
Volov Shumen2–1WARiltzi3–0
Riltzi3–0–AFratria II31/10
Fratria II31/10–HUstrem Donchevo07/11
Ustrem Donchevo07/11–ASeptemvri Dragoevo14/11
Septemvri Dragoevo14/11Ustrem DonchevoWAFratria II2–1
Fratria II2–1WHDorostol4–3
Dorostol4–3LADevnya 20051–2
Devnya 20051–2DHSeptemvri Tervel1–1
Septemvri Tervel1–1LABenkovski Isperih2–3
Benkovski Isperih2–3LHVolov Shumen2–4
Volov Shumen2–4–HSeptemvri Dragoevo31/10
Septemvri Dragoevo31/10–ALudogorets III07/11
Ludogorets III07/11–HChernolomets 191914/11
Chernolomets 191914/11