Ustrem Donchevo vs Septemvri Dragoevo — Third League - Northeast
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Ustrem Donchevo and Septemvri Dragoevo meet in the Third League - Northeast 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Ustrem Donchevo have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 90%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Septemvri Dragoevo have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.29 for Ustrem Donchevo and 1.60 for Septemvri Dragoevo. The models give Ustrem Donchevo a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Septemvri Dragoevo win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Ustrem DonchevoSeptemvri DragoevoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 80% | 40% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Ustrem Donchevo | Home | Away | Septemvri Dragoevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 91% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 27% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ustrem Donchevo | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 70% | 45% |
| BTTS | 100% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 90% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ustrem Donchevo | Septemvri Dragoevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 78% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 100% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Ustrem Donchevo (H)
Dorostol4–3
Septemvri Tervel1–1
Volov Shumen2–4
Svetkavitsa 142–3
Olympic Varna3–4
Benkovski Isperih3–2Septemvri Dragoevo (A)Dorostol1–0Septemvri Tervel0–3Volov Shumen1–4Svetkavitsa 141–1Olympic Varna1–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  Chernolomets 1919 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski Isperih | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |  Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Cherno more II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 |  Devnya 2005 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 |  Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 |  Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 |  Fratria II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -16 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ustrem Donchevo- ●Ustrem Donchevo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Ustrem Donchevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Ustrem Donchevo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Septemvri Dragoevo- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●76% of Septemvri Dragoevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Septemvri Dragoevo have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Ustrem DonchevoFratria II2–1Dorostol4–3Devnya 20051–2Septemvri Tervel1–1Benkovski Isperih2–3Volov Shumen2–4Septemvri Dragoevo31/10Ludogorets III07/11Chernolomets 191914/11Septemvri DragoevoFratria II4–1Botev Novi Pazar0–2Dorostol1–0Devnya 20050–2Septemvri Tervel0–3Benkovski Isperih1–1Ustrem Donchevo31/10Ludogorets III14/11Chernolomets 191921/11