Gelbison vs Aranova — Serie D - Girone G
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Gelbison and Aranova meet in the Serie D - Girone G 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Gelbison have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Aranova have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Gelbison and 1.36 for Aranova. The models give Gelbison a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Aranova win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Gelbison
AranovaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gelbison | Home | Away | Aranova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 83% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 17% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Gelbison | Home | Away | Aranova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 75% | 100% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 0% | 100% | 44% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 50% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gelbison | Aranova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gelbison | Aranova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 89% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Gelbison (H)
Ossese2–1
Venafro0–1
Budoni2–1
Afragolese0–0
Gela1–0
Acireale2–1Aranova (A)
Unipomezia4–3
Certosa V. Campagnano1–2
Monastir1–2Budoni2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 | Monastir | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Trastevere | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Paganese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Unipomezia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 | Ossese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Albalonga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 | Aranova | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Anzio | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Venafro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Budoni | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Gelbison- ●Gelbison failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Gelbison have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gelbison failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gelbison have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gelbison failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Gelbison have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●81% of Gelbison's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Gelbison have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Aranova- ●Aranova have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Aranova have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Aranova have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Aranova have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Aranova have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aranova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Aranova have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Aranova have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●82% of Aranova's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Aranova have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GelbisonSarrabus Ogliastra0–3Ossese2–1Città di Anagni1–3Venafro0–1Paganese3–2Sarnese1–3Atletico Lodigiani01/11Anzio08/11Aranova15/11AranovaSarnese2–1Unipomezia4–3Trastevere2–0Certosa V. Campagnano1–2Latte Dolce1–1Monastir1–2Afragolese31/10Venafro08/11Gelbison15/11Top Scorers
GelbisonAranova