Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese — Serie D - Girone G
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Sarrabus Ogliastra and Paganese meet in the Serie D - Girone G 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Sarrabus Ogliastra have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Paganese have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Sarrabus Ogliastra and 1.60 for Paganese. The models give Sarrabus Ogliastra a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Paganese win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Sarrabus OgliastraPaganeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Home | Away | Paganese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Home | Away | Paganese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS | 40% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | Paganese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarrabus Ogliastra (H)
Gelbison3–0
Afragolese0–0
Unipomezia2–2
Certosa V. Campagnano0–2
Monastir1–2
Olbia2–2Paganese (A)
Città di Anagni1–2
Venafro0–1
Sarnese1–2
Trastevere6–1
Latte Dolce3–2
Martina Franca1–0Head to Head · 4 matches
PaganeseSarrabus OgliastraPaganeseSarrabus Ogliastra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 | Monastir | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Trastevere | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Unipomezia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ossese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Albalonga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Anzio | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 | Città di Anagni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Venafro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Budoni | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Latte Dolce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sarrabus Ogliastra- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have lost their last 2 away matches.
Paganese- ●Paganese have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paganese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Paganese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Paganese's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Paganese have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sarrabus OgliastraGelbison3–0Trastevere2–3Afragolese0–0Latte Dolce0–1Unipomezia2–2Albalonga1–1Sarnese01/11Paganese08/11Venafro15/11PaganeseCittà di Anagni1–2Venafro0–1Budoni3–0Sarnese1–2Gelbison2–3Trastevere6–1Ossese01/11Sarrabus Ogliastra08/11Atletico Lodigiani15/11Top Scorers
Sarrabus OgliastraPaganese