Sarnese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra — Serie D - Girone G
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Sarnese and Sarrabus Ogliastra meet in the Serie D - Girone G 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Sarnese have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Sarrabus Ogliastra have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Sarnese and 1.06 for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The models give Sarnese a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sarrabus Ogliastra win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
SarneseSarrabus OgliastraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sarnese | Home | Away | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 75% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarnese | Home | Away | Sarrabus Ogliastra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 75% | 60% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 56% | 75% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 25% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarnese | Sarrabus Ogliastra | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarnese | Sarrabus Ogliastra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarnese (H)
Città di Anagni1–0
Paganese2–1
Gelbison3–1
Budoni2–1
Pompei2–1
Francavilla2–2Sarrabus Ogliastra (A)
Trastevere2–3
Latte Dolce0–3Latte Dolce0–1
Albalonga1–1
Anzio1–0
Valmontone1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
SarneseSarrabus Ogliastra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Monastir | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Trastevere | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | Paganese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ossese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Albalonga | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Anzio | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Afragolese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 12 | Città di Anagni | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Budoni | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Latte Dolce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Sarnese- ●Sarnese have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Sarnese have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Sarnese have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sarnese have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sarnese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sarnese have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sarnese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Sarnese's goals have been scored at home.
Sarrabus Ogliastra- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sarrabus Ogliastra have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Sarrabus Ogliastra's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
SarneseCittà di Anagni1–0Atletico Lodigiani1–0Paganese2–1Ossese2–2Gelbison3–1Venafro1–0Aranova25/10Sarrabus Ogliastra01/11Monastir08/11Sarrabus OgliastraTrastevere2–3Afragolese0–0Latte Dolce0–1Unipomezia2–2Albalonga1–1Certosa V. Campagnano0–2Gelbison25/10Sarnese01/11Paganese08/11Top Scorers
SarneseSarrabus Ogliastra