Atletico Ascoli vs Foligno Calcio — Serie D - Girone F
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Atletico Ascoli and Foligno Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Atletico Ascoli have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Foligno Calcio have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Atletico Ascoli and 1.13 for Foligno Calcio. The models give Atletico Ascoli a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Foligno Calcio win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Atletico AscoliFoligno CalcioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | Foligno Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 75% | 43% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 25% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 25% | 57% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | Foligno Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 75% | 71% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 29% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 25% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Ascoli | Foligno Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Ascoli | Foligno Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Ascoli (H)
Lanciano FC5–1
Fossombrone0–1
Sporting Trestina1–0
Maceratese2–1
Teramo1–1Fossombrone1–1Foligno Calcio (A)
L'Aquila2–3Maceratese2–0
Montecchio Gallo1–1
Recanatese1–4
Pietralunga1–0
Seravezza0–0Head to Head · 1 matches
Atletico Ascoli| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Teramo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |  Ancona | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Termoli Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Lanciano FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Sporting Trestina | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Santegidiese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Pietralunga | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Angelana | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Atletico Ascoli- ●67% of Atletico Ascoli's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Atletico Ascoli's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Ascoli have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Foligno Calcio- ●Foligno Calcio have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Foligno Calcio have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Foligno Calcio's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Atletico AscoliAncona0–1Termoli Calcio0–0Lanciano FC5–1Vigor Senigallia2–1Fossombrone0–1Real Giulianova2–4Teramo08/11Pietralunga15/11Santegidiese22/11Foligno CalcioVigor Senigallia3–1L'Aquila2–3Real Giulianova0–1Maceratese2–0Angelana1–0Montecchio Gallo1–1Sporting Trestina08/11Termoli Calcio15/11Fossombrone22/11Top Scorers
Atletico AscoliFoligno Calcio