Recanatese vs Atletico Ascoli — Serie D - Girone F
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Recanatese and Atletico Ascoli meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Recanatese have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Atletico Ascoli have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Recanatese and 1.16 for Atletico Ascoli. The models give Recanatese a 36% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico Ascoli win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
RecanateseAtletico AscoliHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Recanatese | Home | Away | Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 50% | 100% | 55% | 75% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 50% | 0% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 9% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 50% | 0% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
Goals Conceded
| Recanatese | Home | Away | Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 80% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 60% | 18% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 20% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Recanatese | Atletico Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 18% |
| BTTS | 64% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Recanatese | Atletico Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Recanatese (H)
Sporting Trestina0–1
L'Aquila2–3
Maceratese2–3
Montecchio Gallo0–0
Foligno Calcio4–1
Pietralunga0–0Atletico Ascoli (A)
Ancona0–1
Termoli Calcio0–0
Vigor Senigallia2–1
Real Giulianova2–4L'Aquila0–0
Angelana0–2Head to Head · 4 matches
Atletico AscoliRecanateseRecanateseAtletico Ascoli| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Teramo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | L'Aquila | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Ancona | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Ascoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Fossombrone | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lanciano FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Maceratese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Sporting Trestina | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Santegidiese | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Pietralunga | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Angelana | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Recanatese- ●Recanatese have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Recanatese have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Recanatese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Recanatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Recanatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Recanatese have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Ascoli- ●67% of Atletico Ascoli's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Atletico Ascoli's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Ascoli have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RecanateseSporting Trestina0–1Angelana1–0L'Aquila2–3Notaresco1–2Maceratese2–3Lanciano FC1–4Real Giulianova08/11Fossombrone15/11Vigor Senigallia22/11Atletico AscoliAncona0–1Termoli Calcio0–0Lanciano FC5–1Vigor Senigallia2–1Fossombrone0–1Real Giulianova2–4Teramo08/11Pietralunga15/11Santegidiese22/11Top Scorers
RecanateseAtletico AscoliCards Given
RecanateseAtletico Ascoli