Italy · Serie D - Girone F · Group F - 14

Montecchio Gallo

9º · 1.38 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h

–

Termoli Calcio

12º · 1.25 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

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Montecchio Gallo and Termoli Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Montecchio Gallo have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Termoli Calcio have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 40%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Montecchio Gallo and 1.01 for Termoli Calcio. The models give Montecchio Gallo a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Termoli Calcio win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Montecchio Gallo

—

Termoli Calcio

9º

Position

12º

1.38

PPG

1.25

38%

Win %

38%

1.13

Goals / game

0.75

1.13

Conceded / game

0.88

63%

BTTS %

30%

25%

Clean sheet %

40%

50%

Over 2.5 %

30%

Home vs Away

Montecchio Gallo

Home (5)

—

Termoli Calcio

Away (5)

1.40

PPG

0.80

40%

Win %

20%

1.40

Goals / game

0.40

1.20

Conceded / game

1.00

80%

BTTS %

33%

Clean sheet %

17%

60%

Over 2.5 %

33%

Goals Scored

	Montecchio Gallo	Home	Away	Termoli Calcio	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	78%	80%	75%	50%	75%	33%
Over 1.5 Scored	22%	40%	0%	30%	25%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	11%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	22%	20%	25%	50%	25%	67%

Goals Conceded

	Montecchio Gallo	Home	Away	Termoli Calcio	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	78%	100%	50%	60%	25%	83%
Over 1.5 Conceded	22%	20%	25%	30%	25%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	11%	0%	25%	10%	0%	17%
Clean Sheets	22%	0%	50%	40%	75%	17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Montecchio Gallo	Termoli Calcio
Over 0.5	89%	80%
Over 1.5	67%	50%
Over 2.5	44%	30%
Over 3.5	22%	10%
Over 4.5	0%	10%
BTTS	67%	30%
BTTS & Win	22%	10%
BTTS & Draw	22%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	44%	30%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Montecchio Gallo	Termoli Calcio
Win 1st Half	22%	10%
Draw 1st Half	56%	80%
Loss 1st Half	22%	10%
Scored 1st Half	22%	10%
Conceded 1st Half	22%	10%
Win 2nd Half	33%	20%
Draw 2nd Half	22%	30%
Loss 2nd Half	44%	50%
Scored 2nd Half	56%	40%
Conceded 2nd Half	67%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	44%	20%
Over 1.5 HT	11%	10%

Recent Venue Form

Montecchio Gallo (H)

Angelana3–1

Notaresco0–1

Foligno Calcio1–1

Pietralunga2–1

Santegidiese1–2

Termoli Calcio (A)

Teramo0–1

Fossombrone2–1

L'Aquila2–5

Sporting Trestina0–2

Real Giulianova0–0

L'Aquila0–1

Serie D - Girone F

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	L'Aquila	8	6	2	0	+12	20
2	Teramo	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Vigor Senigallia	8	5	1	2	+5	16
4	Foligno Calcio	8	5	1	2	+2	16
5	Notaresco	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Ancona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Atletico Ascoli	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Fossombrone	8	4	1	3	-3	13
9	Montecchio Gallo	8	3	2	3	0	11
10	Real Giulianova	8	3	1	4	0	10
11	Lanciano FC	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Termoli Calcio	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Santegidiese	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Pietralunga	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Maceratese	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Recanatese	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Angelana	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Sporting Trestina	8	1	1	6	-9	4

Team Insights

Montecchio Gallo

●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
●70% of Montecchio Gallo's goals have been scored at home.

Termoli Calcio