Maceratese vs Vigor Senigallia — Serie D - Girone F
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Maceratese and Vigor Senigallia meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Maceratese have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Vigor Senigallia have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Maceratese and 1.90 for Vigor Senigallia. The models give Maceratese a 26% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Vigor Senigallia win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Maceratese—
Vigor Senigallia15º
Position
3º
0.88
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
63%
1.13
Goals / game
2.13
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
56%
13%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
Home vs Away
Maceratese
Home (4)
—
Vigor Senigallia
Away (5)
0.25
PPG
2.40
0%
Win %
80%
0.25
Goals / game
3.00
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
25%
BTTS %
80%
0%
Clean sheet %
20%
25%
Over 2.5 %
80%
Goals Scored
| Maceratese | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 40% | 100% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 75% | 56% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 60% | 0% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Maceratese | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 75% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Maceratese | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS | 56% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Maceratese | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Maceratese (H)D
Montecchio Gallo1–1
Montecchio Gallo1–1L
Foligno Calcio0–2
Foligno Calcio0–2D
Santegidiese1–1
Santegidiese1–1L
Ancona0–1
Ancona0–1L
Teramo0–3
Teramo0–3D
Real Giulianova1–1
Real Giulianova1–1Vigor Senigallia (A)WSantegidiese2–0
Santegidiese2–0LTeramo4–6
Teramo4–6W
Termoli Calcio2–1
Termoli Calcio2–1W
Lanciano FC2–1
Lanciano FC2–1W
Sporting Trestina5–2
Sporting Trestina5–2D
Unipomezia3–3
Unipomezia3–3Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Maceratese
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Vigor Senigallia
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
04/01/26Maceratese
Vigor Senigallia
1–0Maceratese07/09/25Vigor Senigallia
Maceratese
0–1Vigor Senigallia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Maceratese- ●Maceratese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Maceratese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Maceratese have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Maceratese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Maceratese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Maceratese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Maceratese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●80% of Maceratese's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Maceratese's points have been earned away.
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●88% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MacerateseDHMontecchio Gallo1–1
Montecchio Gallo1–1LANotaresco2–5
Notaresco2–5LHFoligno Calcio0–2
Foligno Calcio0–2WARecanatese3–2
Recanatese3–2DHSantegidiese1–1
Santegidiese1–1WAPietralunga2–0
Pietralunga2–0–HAngelana01/11
Angelana01/11–ALanciano FC08/11
Lanciano FC08/11–HReal Giulianova15/11
Real Giulianova15/11Vigor SenigalliaLHAncona0–5
Ancona0–5WASantegidiese2–0
Santegidiese2–0LHAtletico Ascoli1–2
Atletico Ascoli1–2LATeramo4–6
Teramo4–6DHFossombrone0–0
Fossombrone0–0WATermoli Calcio2–1
Termoli Calcio2–1–AFoligno Calcio01/11
Foligno Calcio01/11–HPietralunga08/11
Pietralunga08/11–AMontecchio Gallo15/11
Montecchio Gallo15/11Top Scorers
Maceratese4 ⚽
E. Ruani2 ⚽
I. Baumwollspinner1 ⚽
L. Didio1 ⚽
M. Gagliardi1 ⚽
Vigor SenigalliaN. Battista3 ⚽
G. De Feo3 ⚽
A. Tomba2 ⚽
D. Pesaresi2 ⚽
T. Grandis2 ⚽
A. Zonta1 ⚽
Cards Given
MacerateseVigor Senigallia1 🟨