Vigor Senigallia vs Recanatese — Serie D - Girone F
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Vigor Senigallia and Recanatese meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Vigor Senigallia have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Recanatese have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Vigor Senigallia and 1.16 for Recanatese. The models give Vigor Senigallia a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Recanatese win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Vigor SenigalliaRecanateseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | Recanatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 50% | 100% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 0% | 100% | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 0% | 40% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 50% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | Recanatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vigor Senigallia | Recanatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS | 56% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vigor Senigallia | Recanatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Vigor Senigallia (H)
Ancona0–5
Atletico Ascoli1–2
Fossombrone0–0
Real Giulianova1–0
Chieti2–3Atletico Ascoli2–2Recanatese (A)
Angelana1–0
Ternana1–5
Notaresco1–2
Lanciano FC1–4
Santegidiese1–1
Teramo2–2Head to Head · 4 matches
Vigor SenigalliaRecanateseVigor SenigalliaRecanatese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●88% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Recanatese- ●Recanatese have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Recanatese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Recanatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Recanatese have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vigor SenigalliaAncona0–5Santegidiese2–0Atletico Ascoli1–2Teramo4–6Fossombrone0–0Termoli Calcio2–1Foligno Calcio01/11Pietralunga08/11Montecchio Gallo15/11RecanateseAngelana1–0L'Aquila2–3Notaresco1–2Maceratese2–3Lanciano FC1–4Montecchio Gallo0–0Sporting Trestina01/11Real Giulianova08/11Fossombrone15/11Top Scorers
Vigor SenigalliaRecanateseCards Given
Vigor SenigalliaRecanatese