Atletico Ascoli vs Santegidiese — Serie D - Girone F
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Atletico Ascoli and Santegidiese meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Atletico Ascoli have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Santegidiese have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Atletico Ascoli and 1.06 for Santegidiese. The models give Atletico Ascoli a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Santegidiese win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Atletico AscoliSantegidieseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | Santegidiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | Santegidiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 75% | 67% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Ascoli | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Ascoli | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Ascoli (H)
Lanciano FC5–1
Fossombrone0–1
Sporting Trestina1–0
Maceratese2–1
Teramo1–1Fossombrone1–1Santegidiese (A)
L'Aquila1–2Maceratese1–1
Notaresco0–1
Montecchio Gallo2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Atletico Ascoli- ●Atletico Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●67% of Atletico Ascoli's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Atletico Ascoli's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Ascoli have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Santegidiese- ●Santegidiese have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Atletico AscoliTermoli Calcio0–0Lanciano FC5–1Vigor Senigallia2–1Fossombrone0–1Real Giulianova2–4Sporting Trestina1–0Ancona01/11Teramo08/11Pietralunga15/11SantegidieseVigor Senigallia0–2L'Aquila1–2Real Giulianova1–3Maceratese1–1Angelana1–0Notaresco0–1Sporting Trestina25/10Termoli Calcio01/11Fossombrone08/11Top Scorers
Atletico AscoliSantegidiese