Recanatese vs Fossombrone — Serie D - Girone F
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Recanatese and Fossombrone meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Recanatese have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Fossombrone have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Recanatese and 1.33 for Fossombrone. The models give Recanatese a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Fossombrone win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
RecanateseFossombroneHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Recanatese | Home | Away | Fossombrone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 60% | 100% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 60% | 0% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 40% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Recanatese | Home | Away | Fossombrone | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 73% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 55% | 100% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 75% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 27% | 0% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Recanatese | Fossombrone | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 27% |
| BTTS | 70% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Recanatese | Fossombrone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 27% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Recanatese (H)
L'Aquila2–3
Maceratese2–3
Montecchio Gallo0–0
Foligno Calcio4–1
Pietralunga0–0
Victor San Marino4–1Fossombrone (A)
Ancona3–2Ancona1–1
Atletico Ascoli1–0
Vigor Senigallia0–0
Sporting Trestina1–0
Real Giulianova2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
FossombroneRecanateseRecanateseFossombrone| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Recanatese- ●Recanatese have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Recanatese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Recanatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Recanatese have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Fossombrone- ●Fossombrone have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fossombrone have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
RecanateseAngelana1–0L'Aquila2–3Notaresco1–2Maceratese2–3Lanciano FC1–4Montecchio Gallo0–0Sporting Trestina01/11Real Giulianova08/11Fossombrone15/11FossombroneTeramo2–4Ancona3–2Termoli Calcio1–2Atletico Ascoli1–0Vigor Senigallia0–0Lanciano FC2–4Pietralunga01/11Santegidiese08/11Recanatese15/11Top Scorers
RecanateseFossombroneCards Given
RecanateseFossombrone