Notaresco vs Sporting Trestina — Serie D - Girone F
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Notaresco and Sporting Trestina meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Notaresco have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Sporting Trestina have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 11%, Over 2.5 at 11%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Notaresco and 0.97 for Sporting Trestina. The models give Notaresco a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Sporting Trestina win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
NotarescoSporting TrestinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Notaresco | Home | Away | Sporting Trestina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 50% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 50% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
Goals Conceded
| Notaresco | Home | Away | Sporting Trestina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 50% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 20% | 50% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Notaresco | Sporting Trestina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 11% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 11% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Notaresco | Sporting Trestina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 11% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Notaresco (H)
Maceratese5–2
Recanatese2–1
Pietralunga1–1
Santegidiese1–0
Ancona1–2
Victor San Marino1–2Sporting Trestina (A)Pietralunga0–2Ancona0–2
Atletico Ascoli0–1
Lanciano FC0–0
Gubbio0–2
Robur Siena4–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Notaresco- ●Notaresco have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Notaresco have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Notaresco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●77% of Notaresco's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Notaresco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Notaresco have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Sporting Trestina- ●Sporting Trestina have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Sporting Trestina have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Sporting Trestina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Sporting Trestina have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting Trestina have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NotarescoLanciano FC0–0Maceratese5–2Recanatese2–1Montecchio Gallo1–0Pietralunga1–1Foligno Calcio0–1L'Aquila01/11Angelana08/11Sporting Trestina15/11Sporting TrestinaPietralunga0–2Teramo0–2Ancona0–2Termoli Calcio2–0Atletico Ascoli0–1Fossombrone0–1Santegidiese25/10Recanatese01/11Foligno Calcio08/11Top Scorers
NotarescoSporting Trestina