Montecchio Gallo vs Vigor Senigallia — Serie D - Girone F
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Montecchio Gallo and Vigor Senigallia meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Montecchio Gallo have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Vigor Senigallia have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Montecchio Gallo and 1.74 for Vigor Senigallia. The models give Montecchio Gallo a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vigor Senigallia win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Montecchio GalloVigor SenigalliaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Montecchio Gallo | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 56% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Montecchio Gallo | Home | Away | Vigor Senigallia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montecchio Gallo | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 67% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montecchio Gallo | Vigor Senigallia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Montecchio Gallo (H)
Angelana3–1
Notaresco0–1
Foligno Calcio1–1
Pietralunga2–1
Santegidiese1–2Vigor Senigallia (A)Santegidiese2–0
Teramo4–6
Termoli Calcio2–1
Lanciano FC2–1
Sporting Trestina5–2
Unipomezia3–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Montecchio Gallo- ●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Montecchio Gallo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Montecchio Gallo's goals have been scored at home.
Vigor Senigallia- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●88% of Vigor Senigallia's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Vigor Senigallia's points have been earned away.
- ●Vigor Senigallia have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Montecchio GalloMaceratese1–1Angelana3–1Lanciano FC1–3Notaresco0–1Foligno Calcio1–1Recanatese0–0Real Giulianova01/11L'Aquila08/11Vigor Senigallia15/11Vigor SenigalliaAncona0–5Santegidiese2–0Atletico Ascoli1–2Teramo4–6Fossombrone0–0Termoli Calcio2–1Foligno Calcio01/11Pietralunga08/11Montecchio Gallo15/11Top Scorers
Montecchio GalloVigor SenigalliaCards Given
Montecchio GalloVigor Senigallia