Fossombrone vs Santegidiese — Serie D - Girone F
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Fossombrone and Santegidiese meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Fossombrone have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Santegidiese have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Fossombrone and 1.59 for Santegidiese. The models give Fossombrone a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Santegidiese win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
FossombroneSantegidieseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Santegidiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 29% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Fossombrone | Home | Away | Santegidiese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 100% | 57% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 100% | 29% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 75% | 14% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 0% | 43% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fossombrone | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS | 55% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fossombrone | Santegidiese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Fossombrone (H)
Teramo2–4
Termoli Calcio1–2
Lanciano FC2–4
L'Aquila0–4
Castelfidardo Calcio3–1
Ancona1–2Santegidiese (A)L'Aquila1–2
Maceratese1–1
Notaresco0–1
Montecchio Gallo2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Fossombrone- ●Fossombrone have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fossombrone have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fossombrone have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Fossombrone's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●100% of Fossombrone's points have been earned away.
Santegidiese- ●Santegidiese have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Santegidiese have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FossombroneTeramo2–4Ancona3–2Termoli Calcio1–2Atletico Ascoli1–0Vigor Senigallia0–0Lanciano FC2–4Pietralunga01/11Santegidiese08/11Recanatese15/11SantegidieseVigor Senigallia0–2L'Aquila1–2Real Giulianova1–3Maceratese1–1Angelana1–0Notaresco0–1Sporting Trestina25/10Termoli Calcio01/11Fossombrone08/11Top Scorers
FossombroneSantegidieseCards Given
FossombroneSantegidiese