Notaresco vs L'Aquila — Serie D - Girone F
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Notaresco and L'Aquila meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Notaresco have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. L'Aquila have won 80% of their 10 matches, with 2.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Notaresco and 1.67 for L'Aquila. The models give Notaresco a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an L'Aquila win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Notaresco
L'AquilaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Notaresco | Home | Away | L'Aquila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 100% | 50% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 0% | 50% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Notaresco | Home | Away | L'Aquila | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Notaresco | L'Aquila | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 30% |
| BTTS | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Notaresco | L'Aquila | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 70% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 90% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Notaresco (H)
Maceratese5–2
Recanatese2–1
Pietralunga1–1
Santegidiese1–0
Ancona1–2
Victor San Marino1–2L'Aquila (A)Recanatese3–2Pietralunga3–0Ancona2–2
Fossombrone4–0
Termoli Calcio1–1
Ostia Mare1–2Head to Head · 8 matches
NotarescoL'AquilaL'AquilaNotarescoNotarescoNotarescoL'AquilaNotaresco| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Notaresco- ●Notaresco have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Notaresco have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Notaresco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●77% of Notaresco's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Notaresco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Notaresco have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
L'Aquila- ●L'Aquila have won their last 5 matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●L'Aquila have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●L'Aquila have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●L'Aquila have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●L'Aquila have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
NotarescoLanciano FC0–0Maceratese5–2Recanatese2–1Montecchio Gallo1–0Pietralunga1–1Foligno Calcio0–1L'Aquila01/11Angelana08/11Sporting Trestina15/11L'AquilaFoligno Calcio3–2Recanatese3–2Santegidiese2–1Pietralunga3–0Teramo2–0Ancona2–2Notaresco01/11Montecchio Gallo08/11Angelana15/11Top Scorers
NotarescoL'Aquila