Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli — Serie D - Girone F
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Ancona and Atletico Ascoli meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Ancona have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Atletico Ascoli have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Ancona and 1.31 for Atletico Ascoli. The models give Ancona a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atletico Ascoli win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
AnconaAtletico AscoliHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ancona | Home | Away | Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 80% | 100% | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 20% | 0% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Ancona | Home | Away | Atletico Ascoli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 80% | 40% | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Ancona (H)
Fossombrone2–3Fossombrone1–1
Sporting Trestina2–0
L'Aquila2–2
Montecchio Gallo0–1
Notaresco1–3Atletico Ascoli (A)
Termoli Calcio0–0
Vigor Senigallia2–1
Real Giulianova2–4L'Aquila0–0
Angelana0–2
Pineto1–1Head to Head · 5 matches
Atletico AscoliAtletico AscoliAnconaAtletico AscoliAncona| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Ancona- ●Ancona have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Ancona have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Ancona have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ancona have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ancona have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ancona have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ancona have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ancona have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Ancona's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Ancona's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●76% of Ancona's points have been earned away.
- ●Ancona have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Ascoli- ●Atletico Ascoli have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●67% of Atletico Ascoli's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Atletico Ascoli's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Ascoli have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AnconaVigor Senigallia5–0Fossombrone2–3Real Giulianova2–0Sporting Trestina2–0Angelana1–1L'Aquila2–2Atletico Ascoli01/11Termoli Calcio08/11Lanciano FC15/11Atletico AscoliTermoli Calcio0–0Lanciano FC5–1Vigor Senigallia2–1Fossombrone0–1Real Giulianova2–4Sporting Trestina1–0Ancona01/11Teramo08/11Pietralunga15/11Top Scorers
AnconaAtletico Ascoli