Lanciano FC vs Notaresco — Serie D - Girone F
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Lanciano FC and Notaresco meet in the Serie D - Girone F 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Lanciano FC have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Notaresco have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Lanciano FC and 1.17 for Notaresco. The models give Lanciano FC a 40% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Notaresco win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Lanciano FCNotarescoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lanciano FC | Home | Away | Notaresco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lanciano FC | Home | Away | Notaresco | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 25% | 100% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lanciano FC | Notaresco | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS | 75% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lanciano FC | Notaresco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Lanciano FC (H)
Montecchio Gallo3–1
Recanatese4–1
Vigor Senigallia1–2
Sporting Trestina0–0Notaresco (A)Montecchio Gallo1–0
Foligno Calcio0–1
Teramo2–2Teramo1–3
Ancona3–1Ancona1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno Calcio | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Real Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Termoli Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
Team Insights
Lanciano FC- ●Lanciano FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Lanciano FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lanciano FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lanciano FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●73% of Lanciano FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
Notaresco- ●Notaresco have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Notaresco have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Notaresco have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Notaresco failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●77% of Notaresco's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Notaresco's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Notaresco have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lanciano FCAtletico Ascoli1–5Montecchio Gallo3–1Termoli Calcio0–2Recanatese4–1Fossombrone4–2Vigor Senigallia1–2Notaresco25/10Teramo01/11Maceratese08/11NotarescoMaceratese5–2Recanatese2–1Montecchio Gallo1–0Pietralunga1–1Foligno Calcio0–1Santegidiese1–0Lanciano FC25/10L'Aquila01/11Angelana08/11Top Scorers
Lanciano FCNotarescoCards Given
Lanciano FCNotaresco