Nocerina vs Real Normanna — Serie D - Girone H
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Nocerina and Real Normanna meet in the Serie D - Girone H 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Nocerina have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Real Normanna have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Nocerina and 1.33 for Real Normanna. The models give Nocerina a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real Normanna win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
NocerinaReal NormannaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nocerina | Home | Away | Real Normanna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 80% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 20% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Nocerina | Home | Away | Real Normanna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 33% | 80% | 42% | 17% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nocerina | Real Normanna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 25% |
| BTTS | 64% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nocerina | Real Normanna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Nocerina (H)
Gladiator1–2
Brindisi0–1
Turris1–1
USD Palmese3–0
Ischia3–2
Ebolitana2–1Real Normanna (A)
Real Forio 20141–1Gladiator3–3
Paganese1–1Brindisi0–3USD Palmese4–3Ischia2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Brindisi | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Turris | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Gravina | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Fidelis Andria | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |  Bisceglie | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Gladiator | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Nocerina | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | USD Palmese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Ischia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Ebolitana | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Real Forio 2014 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Francavilla | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Melfi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Nocerina- ●Nocerina have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nocerina have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Nocerina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Nocerina have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nocerina failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Nocerina failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Nocerina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Nocerina have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Real Normanna- ●Real Normanna have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Real Normanna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Normanna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Real Normanna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Real Normanna's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Real Normanna's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
NocerinaGravina1–2Gladiator1–2Martina Franca0–2Brindisi0–1Melfi1–0USD Palmese3–0Real Forio 201408/11Fidelis Andria15/11Virtus Francavilla22/11Real NormannaReal Forio 20141–1Turris1–1Gladiator3–3Fidelis Andria0–1Brindisi0–3Gravina1–0Manfredonia08/11Virtus Francavilla15/11Nardò22/11Top Scorers
NocerinaReal NormannaCards Given
NocerinaReal Normanna