Virtus Francavilla vs Nardò — Serie D - Girone H
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Stadio Giovanni Paolo II·Francavilla Fontana·Italy·3,360
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Virtus Francavilla and Nardò meet in the Serie D - Girone H 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Virtus Francavilla have recorded 10 wins from 12 matches this season (83% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Nardò have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Virtus Francavilla and 0.96 for Nardò. The models give Virtus Francavilla a 60% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nardò win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Virtus Francavilla—
Nardò1º
Position
18º
2.40
PPG
0.60
80%
Win %
10%
1.90
Goals / game
0.80
1.10
Conceded / game
1.90
58%
BTTS %
60%
42%
Clean sheet %
10%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Virtus Francavilla
Home (5)
—
Nardò
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
0.80
100%
Win %
20%
2.20
Goals / game
1.20
0.60
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
80%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Virtus Francavilla | Home | Away | Nardò | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Virtus Francavilla | Home | Away | Nardò | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 50% | 33% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Virtus Francavilla | Nardò | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 10% |
| BTTS | 58% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Virtus Francavilla | Nardò | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 83% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 80% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Virtus Francavilla (H)W
Manfredonia2–0
Manfredonia2–0W
Real Forio 20142–0
Real Forio 20142–0W
Gravina3–0
Gravina3–0W
Gladiator2–1
Gladiator2–1W
Brindisi2–1
Brindisi2–1W
USD Palmese3–1
USD Palmese3–1Nardò (A)LGladiator1–2
Gladiator1–2LBrindisi0–2
Brindisi0–2LUSD Palmese2–4
USD Palmese2–4W
Ischia2–1
Ischia2–1D
Ebolitana1–1
Ebolitana1–1L
Martina Franca1–2
Martina Franca1–2Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Virtus Francavilla
50%
0
Draws
0%
2
Nardò
50%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
29/03/26Nardò
Virtus Francavilla
1–0Nardò16/11/25Virtus Francavilla
Nardò
3–0Virtus Francavilla27/04/25Virtus Francavilla
Nardò
1–0Virtus Francavilla15/12/24Nardò
Virtus Francavilla
2–1Nardò| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 | Martina Franca | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | Brindisi | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 |  Turris | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 | Gravina | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Manfredonia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Fidelis Andria | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 |  Bisceglie | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Gladiator | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Real Normanna | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Nocerina | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | USD Palmese | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Ischia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Ebolitana | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Real Forio 2014 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Francavilla | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Melfi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Nardò | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Virtus Francavilla- ●Virtus Francavilla have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Virtus Francavilla's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Virtus Francavilla have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Nardò- ●Nardò have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Nardò have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Nardò failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nardò have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Nardò have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nardò have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nardò failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nardò have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nardò failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Nardò failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Nardò's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Nardò's points have been earned away.
- ●Nardò have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Virtus FrancavillaWATurris2–1
Turris2–1WHManfredonia2–0
Manfredonia2–0LAFidelis Andria1–2
Fidelis Andria1–2WHReal Forio 20142–0
Real Forio 20142–0LAGravina2–4
Gravina2–4WHGladiator2–1
Gladiator2–1–AFrancavilla08/11
Francavilla08/11–HReal Normanna15/11
Real Normanna15/11–ANocerina22/11
Nocerina22/11NardòLAGladiator1–2
Gladiator1–2LHFidelis Andria1–3
Fidelis Andria1–3LABrindisi0–2
Brindisi0–2DHGravina1–1
Gravina1–1LAUSD Palmese2–4
USD Palmese2–4LHMartina Franca0–3
Martina Franca0–3–HTurris08/11
Turris08/11–AReal Forio 201415/11
Real Forio 201415/11–HReal Normanna22/11
Real Normanna22/11Top Scorers
Virtus FrancavillaM. Ahmetaj6 ⚽
5 ⚽
M. Biagiotti2 ⚽
T. B. Norris2 ⚽
D. Mungo1 ⚽
G. Ajello1 ⚽
NardòA. Trombino5 ⚽
A. Sarrica1 ⚽
F. Margheriti1 ⚽
F. Skorb1 ⚽
Cards Given
Virtus FrancavillaNardò2 🟨