Gravina vs Nocerina — Serie D - Girone H
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Gravina and Nocerina meet in the Serie D - Girone H 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Gravina have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Nocerina have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Gravina and 1.14 for Nocerina. The models give Gravina a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Nocerina win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Gravina
NocerinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gravina | Home | Away | Nocerina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 40% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 75% | 20% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 60% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Gravina | Home | Away | Nocerina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 20% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gravina | Nocerina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 67% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gravina | Nocerina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Gravina (H)
Francavilla1–1
Virtus Francavilla4–2
Real Forio 20142–2
Gladiator3–1
Real Normanna3–2
Paganese1–0Nocerina (A)
Martina Franca0–2
Melfi1–0
Bisceglie1–3
Manfredonia2–2
Monastir0–1
Atletico Lodigiani0–0Head to Head · 7 matches
NocerinaGravinaGravinaNocerinaNocerinaGravinaNocerina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martina Franca | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 |  Turris | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Brindisi | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Manfredonia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 | Nocerina | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Normanna | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Fidelis Andria | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Gladiator | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Ebolitana | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Melfi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Real Forio 2014 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Team Insights
Gravina- ●Gravina have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gravina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gravina have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gravina have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of Gravina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Gravina's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Gravina have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Nocerina- ●67% of Nocerina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Nocerina have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GravinaFrancavilla1–1Nardò1–1Virtus Francavilla4–2Real Normanna0–1Real Forio 20142–2Turris0–0Ebolitana25/10Nocerina01/11Ischia08/11NocerinaMartina Franca0–2Brindisi0–1Melfi1–0USD Palmese3–0Bisceglie1–3Ischia3–2Gladiator25/10Gravina01/11Real Forio 201408/11Top Scorers
GravinaNocerina