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Lucchese vs Prato — Serie D - Girone E

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Italy · Serie D - Girone E · Group E - 15
Lucchese
Lucchese
10º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
vs
–
–
Prato
Prato
1º · 2.20 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
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Lucchese and Prato meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Lucchese have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Prato have won 58% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 42%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Lucchese and 1.23 for Prato. The models give Lucchese a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Prato win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Lucchese
—
Prato
10º
Position
1º
1.50
PPG
2.20
40%
Win %
60%
2.10
Goals / game
1.70
1.90
Conceded / game
0.60
64%
BTTS %
58%
18%
Clean sheet %
42%
64%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Lucchese
Home (5)
—
Prato
Away (4)
2.20
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
50%
2.60
Goals / game
1.50
1.20
Conceded / game
0.75
80%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
40%
80%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

LuccheseHomeAwayPratoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%100%50%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored55%80%33%42%43%40%
Over 2.5 Scored27%40%17%25%14%40%
Failed To Score27%0%50%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

LuccheseHomeAwayPratoHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%80%83%58%57%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded55%40%67%8%14%0%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%0%50%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets18%20%17%42%43%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LucchesePrato
Over 0.591%100%
Over 1.591%83%
Over 2.564%42%
Over 3.555%17%
Over 4.545%0%
BTTS64%58%
BTTS & Win27%17%
BTTS & Draw27%33%
BTTS & Over 2.545%25%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LucchesePrato
Win 1st Half18%42%
Draw 1st Half36%33%
Loss 1st Half45%25%
Scored 1st Half36%42%
Conceded 1st Half45%25%
Win 2nd Half36%58%
Draw 2nd Half36%42%
Loss 2nd Half27%0%
Scored 2nd Half73%92%
Conceded 2nd Half64%42%
Over 0.5 HT64%67%
Over 1.5 HT55%25%

Recent Venue Form

Lucchese (H)
DGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1
DTernana2–2
WRobur Siena3–2
WProgresso5–0
WMontevarchi Calcio2–1
WSestri Levante1–0
Prato (A)
DGavorrano1–1
WTerranuova Traiana3–0
DTerranuova Traiana1–1
WSasso Marconi Zola1–0
WRondinella3–1
WSporting Trestina2–0

Head to Head · 5 matches

3
Lucchese
60%
1
Draws
20%
1
Prato
20%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
03/11/19
Prato
0–1
Lucchese
24/03/18
Prato
0–1
Lucchese
08/11/17
Lucchese
0–0
Prato
11/03/17
Prato
3–2
Lucchese
23/10/16
Lucchese
3–0
Prato
Serie D - Girone E
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Prato10640+1122
2Gavorrano10550+720
3Robur Siena10613+1019
4Ternana10532+918
5Terranuova Traiana10442+416
6Flaminia10442+116
7Tau Altopascio10514-416
8Seravezza10433+715
9Scandicci10433+415
10Lucchese10433+215
11San Donato Tavarnelle10424-114
12Montevarchi Calcio10415013
13Sasso Marconi Zola10325011
14Rondinella10244-510
15Mezzolara10172-610
16Grassina10145-77
17Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano10037-143
18Progresso10109-183

Team Insights

Lucchese
  • ●Lucchese have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lucchese have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Lucchese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●62% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●68% of Lucchese's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Lucchese have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Prato
  • ●Prato have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
  • ●Prato have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Prato have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Prato have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Prato have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Prato have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Prato have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Prato have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●65% of Prato's goals have been scored at home.
LuccheseLucchese
LATerranuova Traiana5º2–3
DHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano17º1–1
LASasso Marconi Zola13º0–2
DHTernana4º2–2
DASeravezza1–1
WAGrassina16º6–3
WHRobur Siena3º3–2
DARondinella14º0–0
WHProgresso18º5–0
LASeravezza8º0–5
PratoPrato
WHMezzolara15º4–0
LHTernana1–2
DHFlaminia6º1–1
DAGavorrano2º1–1
WHSan Donato Tavarnelle11º2–0
WATerranuova Traiana3–0
DATerranuova Traiana5º1–1
WHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano17º2–1
WASasso Marconi Zola13º1–0
DHGrassina16º1–1

Season Schedule

Lucchese
LATerranuova Traiana2–3
DHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1
LASasso Marconi Zola0–2
DHTernana2–2
WAGrassina6–3
WHRobur Siena3–2
–HSan Donato Tavarnelle08/11
–AGavorrano15/11
–HFlaminia22/11
Prato
WHMezzolara4–0
DHFlaminia1–1
DAGavorrano1–1
WHSan Donato Tavarnelle2–0
DATerranuova Traiana1–1
WHGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano2–1
–ASeravezza08/11
–HTau Altopascio15/11
–AScandicci22/11

Top Scorers

Lucchese
F. Dionisi7 ⚽
6 ⚽
D. Sirbu4 ⚽
D. Lorusso3 ⚽
L. Lombardi2 ⚽
A. Cadili1 ⚽
Prato
F. Verde5 ⚽
G. Caon2 ⚽
E. Marzierli2 ⚽
G. Risaliti2 ⚽
F. Barranca1 ⚽
F. D'Orsi1 ⚽