Mezzolara vs Lucchese — Serie D - Girone E
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Mezzolara and Lucchese meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Mezzolara have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Lucchese have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Mezzolara and 1.09 for Lucchese. The models give Mezzolara a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lucchese win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Mezzolara
LuccheseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mezzolara | Home | Away | Lucchese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Mezzolara | Home | Away | Lucchese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 60% | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mezzolara | Lucchese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS | 67% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 56% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mezzolara | Lucchese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Mezzolara (H)
Terranuova Traiana1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola2–2
Grassina0–0
Ternana2–1
Rondinella0–0
Progresso1–2Lucchese (A)Sasso Marconi Zola0–2
Seravezza1–1Grassina6–3Rondinella0–0Seravezza0–5
Sestri Levante1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Mezzolara- ●Mezzolara have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Mezzolara have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Mezzolara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Mezzolara's goals have been scored at home.
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MezzolaraTerranuova Traiana1–1Flaminia1–1Sasso Marconi Zola2–2San Donato Tavarnelle1–1Grassina0–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1Prato01/11Gavorrano08/11Scandicci15/11LuccheseGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1Sasso Marconi Zola0–2Ternana2–2Grassina6–3Robur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Terranuova Traiana01/11San Donato Tavarnelle08/11Gavorrano15/11Top Scorers
MezzolaraLuccheseCards Given
MezzolaraLucchese