Gavorrano vs Progresso — Serie D - Girone E
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Gavorrano and Progresso meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Gavorrano have recorded 5 wins from 10 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Progresso have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 0.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Gavorrano and 0.80 for Progresso. The models give Gavorrano a 64% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Progresso win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Gavorrano
ProgressoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gavorrano | Home | Away | Progresso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 25% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 70% | 75% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Gavorrano | Home | Away | Progresso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 67% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 17% | 0% | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gavorrano | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS | 70% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 30% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gavorrano | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 10% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 80% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 90% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Gavorrano (H)
Scandicci3–2
Prato1–1
Terranuova Traiana1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola2–1
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0
Grassina2–0Progresso (A)Sasso Marconi Zola0–4Grassina0–1
Rondinella1–2
Montevarchi Calcio0–2
Lucchese0–5
Tau Altopascio1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Robur Siena | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Ternana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 | Terranuova Traiana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Flaminia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Tau Altopascio | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Seravezza | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Scandicci | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 | Lucchese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |  Mezzolara | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Grassina | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Progresso | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Gavorrano- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Gavorrano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gavorrano failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Gavorrano's goals have been scored at home.
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Progresso have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
GavorranoScandicci3–2Seravezza1–1Prato1–1Terranuova Traiana1–1Flaminia1–1Sasso Marconi Zola2–1Mezzolara08/11Lucchese15/11Tau Altopascio22/11ProgressoSasso Marconi Zola0–4Ternana0–1Grassina0–1Robur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano08/11Terranuova Traiana15/11San Donato Tavarnelle22/11Top Scorers
GavorranoProgressoCards Given
GavorranoProgresso