Progresso vs San Donato Tavarnelle — Serie D - Girone E
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Progresso and San Donato Tavarnelle meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Progresso have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 0.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. San Donato Tavarnelle have won 46% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Progresso and 1.18 for San Donato Tavarnelle. The models give Progresso a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an San Donato Tavarnelle win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
ProgressoSan Donato TavarnelleHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresso | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 30% | 25% | 33% | 85% | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 10% | 25% | 0% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 70% | 75% | 67% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresso | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 25% | 83% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresso | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 30% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresso | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 60% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 10% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 10% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 80% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 20% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 90% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresso (H)
Ternana0–1
Robur Siena0–1
Seravezza0–3
Scandicci2–1
Sasso Marconi Zola4–1
Correggese1–1San Donato (A)Scandicci1–2
Prato0–2
Flaminia1–2
Terranuova Traiana1–1Sasso Marconi Zola3–1
Sangiovannese1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Robur Siena | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Ternana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 | Terranuova Traiana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Flaminia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Tau Altopascio | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | Seravezza | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Scandicci | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lucchese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |  Mezzolara | 10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Progresso | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 3 |
Team Insights
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Progresso have lost 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
San Donato- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of San Donato Tavarnelle's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ProgressoSasso Marconi Zola0–4Ternana0–1Grassina0–1Robur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano08/11Terranuova Traiana15/11San Donato Tavarnelle22/11San DonatoMontevarchi Calcio1–0Scandicci1–2Tau Altopascio1–0Prato0–2Mezzolara1–1Flaminia1–2Lucchese08/11Robur Siena15/11Progresso22/11Top Scorers
ProgressoSan DonatoCards Given
ProgressoSan Donato