Montevarchi Calcio vs Terranuova Traiana — Serie D - Girone E
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Montevarchi Calcio and Terranuova Traiana meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Montevarchi Calcio have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Terranuova Traiana have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Montevarchi Calcio and 0.99 for Terranuova Traiana. The models give Montevarchi Calcio a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Terranuova Traiana win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Montevarchi CalcioTerranuova TraianaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | Terranuova Traiana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 60% | 80% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 40% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | Terranuova Traiana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 40% | 80% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 60% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Montevarchi Calcio | Terranuova Traiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 9% |
| BTTS | 40% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Montevarchi Calcio | Terranuova Traiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Montevarchi Calcio (H)
Grassina1–0
Rondinella0–1
Progresso2–0
Tau Altopascio4–1
Figline0–0
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0Terranuova Traiana (A)
Mezzolara1–1
Gavorrano1–1
Seravezza0–3Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–1
Grosseto1–3Tau Altopascio2–3Head to Head · 5 matches
Terranuova TraianaMontevarchi CalcioMontevarchi CalcioTerranuova TraianaTerranuova Traiana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 |  Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Montevarchi Calcio- ●Montevarchi Calcio have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Montevarchi Calcio's goals conceded were conceded away.
Terranuova Traiana- ●Terranuova Traiana have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Terranuova Traiana failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Terranuova Traiana's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Montevarchi CalcioGrassina1–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0Rondinella0–1Ternana1–4Progresso2–0Robur Siena0–3San Donato Tavarnelle01/11Sasso Marconi Zola08/11Flaminia15/11Terranuova TraianaMezzolara1–1Scandicci1–0Gavorrano1–1Prato1–1Seravezza0–3Flaminia5–1Lucchese01/11Tau Altopascio08/11Progresso15/11Top Scorers
Montevarchi CalcioTerranuova TraianaCards Given
Montevarchi CalcioTerranuova Traiana