Lucchese vs Flaminia — Serie D - Girone E
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Lucchese and Flaminia meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Lucchese have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Flaminia have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Lucchese and 1.09 for Flaminia. The models give Lucchese a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Flaminia win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Lucchese
FlaminiaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lucchese | Home | Away | Flaminia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 40% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 60% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Lucchese | Home | Away | Flaminia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lucchese | Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 18% |
| BTTS | 60% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lucchese | Flaminia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Lucchese (H)
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1
Ternana2–2
Robur Siena3–2
Progresso5–0
Montevarchi Calcio2–1
Sestri Levante1–0Flaminia (A)
Prato1–1
Seravezza0–1
Terranuova Traiana1–5
Grassina1–0
Lazio0–6
Monastir3–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Flaminia- ●Flaminia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Flaminia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Flaminia have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flaminia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flaminia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Flaminia's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
LuccheseGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1Sasso Marconi Zola0–2Ternana2–2Grassina6–3Robur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Terranuova Traiana01/11San Donato Tavarnelle08/11Gavorrano15/11FlaminiaPrato1–1Mezzolara1–1Seravezza0–1Gavorrano1–1San Donato Tavarnelle2–1Terranuova Traiana1–5Tau Altopascio01/11Scandicci08/11Montevarchi Calcio15/11Top Scorers
LuccheseFlaminia