Terranuova Traiana vs Progresso — Serie D - Girone E
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Terranuova Traiana and Progresso meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Terranuova Traiana have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Progresso have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Terranuova Traiana and 0.87 for Progresso. The models give Terranuova Traiana a 60% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Progresso win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Terranuova TraianaProgressoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Terranuova Traiana | Home | Away | Progresso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 83% | 75% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 17% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 17% | 25% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Terranuova Traiana | Home | Away | Progresso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 83% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 63% | 33% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 17% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Terranuova Traiana | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS | 70% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Terranuova Traiana | Progresso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 75% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Terranuova Traiana (H)
Scandicci1–0
Prato0–3Prato1–1
Flaminia5–1
San Donato Tavarnelle1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola1–2Progresso (A)
Grassina0–1
Rondinella1–2
Montevarchi Calcio0–2
Lucchese0–5
Tau Altopascio1–2
Sant'Angelo1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Terranuova Traiana- ●Terranuova Traiana have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Terranuova Traiana failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●69% of Terranuova Traiana's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Terranuova Traiana have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Terranuova TraianaScandicci1–0Gavorrano1–1Prato1–1Seravezza0–3Flaminia5–1San Donato Tavarnelle1–1Mezzolara25/10Lucchese01/11Tau Altopascio08/11ProgressoGrassina0–1Robur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Seravezza0–3Lucchese0–5Ternana25/10Sasso Marconi Zola01/11Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano08/11Top Scorers
Terranuova TraianaProgressoCards Given
Terranuova TraianaProgresso