Gavorrano vs Lucchese — Serie D - Girone E
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Gavorrano and Lucchese meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Gavorrano have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 13%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Lucchese have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Gavorrano and 1.05 for Lucchese. The models give Gavorrano a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lucchese win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Gavorrano
LuccheseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Gavorrano | Home | Away | Lucchese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 56% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Gavorrano | Home | Away | Lucchese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 60% | 67% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gavorrano | Lucchese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 13% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 44% |
| BTTS | 63% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gavorrano | Lucchese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Gavorrano (H)
Prato1–1
Terranuova Traiana1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola2–1
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0
Grassina2–0
Camaiore3–2Lucchese (A)Sasso Marconi Zola0–2
Seravezza1–1Grassina6–3
Rondinella0–0Seravezza0–5
Sestri Levante1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
GavorranoLucchese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Gavorrano- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gavorrano have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Gavorrano's goals have been scored at home.
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Lucchese's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
GavorranoPrato1–1Terranuova Traiana1–1Flaminia1–1Sasso Marconi Zola2–1San Donato Tavarnelle2–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–0Seravezza25/10Scandicci01/11Mezzolara08/11LuccheseSasso Marconi Zola0–2Ternana2–2Grassina6–3Robur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Progresso5–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano25/10Terranuova Traiana01/11San Donato Tavarnelle08/11Top Scorers
GavorranoLucchese