Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio — Serie D - Girone E
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Flaminia and Montevarchi Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Flaminia have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Montevarchi Calcio have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Flaminia and 1.08 for Montevarchi Calcio. The models give Flaminia a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Montevarchi Calcio win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
FlaminiaMontevarchi CalcioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Flaminia | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 83% | 60% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 50% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 17% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Flaminia | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 83% | 80% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 17% | 40% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 17% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flaminia | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS | 55% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flaminia | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Flaminia (H)
Mezzolara1–1
Robur Siena0–3
Gavorrano1–1
San Donato Tavarnelle2–1
Sasso Marconi Zola2–2
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano2–0Montevarchi Calcio (A)Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0
Ternana1–4Robur Siena0–3
Seravezza1–1
Lucchese1–2
Prato0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
FlaminiaMontevarchi CalcioFlaminia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Flaminia- ●Flaminia have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Flaminia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Flaminia have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flaminia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Flaminia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Flaminia's goals have been scored at home.
Montevarchi Calcio- ●Montevarchi Calcio have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Montevarchi Calcio's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
FlaminiaPrato1–1Mezzolara1–1Seravezza0–1Gavorrano1–1San Donato Tavarnelle2–1Terranuova Traiana1–5Tau Altopascio01/11Scandicci08/11Montevarchi Calcio15/11Montevarchi CalcioGrassina1–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0Rondinella0–1Ternana1–4Progresso2–0Robur Siena0–3San Donato Tavarnelle01/11Sasso Marconi Zola08/11Flaminia15/11Top Scorers
FlaminiaMontevarchi CalcioCards Given
FlaminiaMontevarchi Calcio