Progresso vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano — Serie D - Girone E
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Progresso and Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Progresso have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Progresso and 1.15 for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The models give Progresso a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
ProgressoGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresso | Home | Away | Ghivizzano Borgo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 40% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 67% | 75% | 60% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresso | Home | Away | Ghivizzano Borgo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 25% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresso | Ghivizzano Borgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS | 33% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresso | Ghivizzano Borgo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 10% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 78% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 89% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresso (H)
Ternana0–1
Robur Siena0–1
Seravezza0–3
Scandicci2–1
Sasso Marconi Zola4–1
Correggese1–1Ghivizzano Borgo (A)
Lucchese1–1Scandicci3–3
Prato1–2
Gavorrano0–1
Flaminia0–2
Livorno1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanoProgresso| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Progresso- ●Progresso have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Progresso have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Progresso have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Progresso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Ghivizzano Borgo- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
ProgressoTernana0–1Grassina0–1Robur Siena0–1Rondinella1–2Montevarchi Calcio0–2Seravezza0–3Sasso Marconi Zola01/11Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano08/11Terranuova Traiana15/11Ghivizzano BorgoLucchese1–1Montevarchi Calcio0–3Scandicci3–3Tau Altopascio0–1Prato1–2Mezzolara1–1Robur Siena01/11Progresso08/11Ternana15/11Top Scorers
ProgressoGhivizzano BorgoCards Given
ProgressoGhivizzano Borgo