Lucchese vs San Donato Tavarnelle — Serie D - Girone E
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Lucchese and San Donato Tavarnelle meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Lucchese have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. San Donato Tavarnelle have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Lucchese and 1.16 for San Donato Tavarnelle. The models give Lucchese a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an San Donato Tavarnelle win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
LuccheseSan Donato TavarnelleHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lucchese | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 40% | 83% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 60% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Lucchese | Home | Away | San Donato | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 83% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lucchese | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 0% |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lucchese | San Donato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Lucchese (H)
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1
Ternana2–2
Robur Siena3–2
Progresso5–0
Montevarchi Calcio2–1
Sestri Levante1–0San Donato (A)
Scandicci1–2
Prato0–2
Flaminia1–2
Terranuova Traiana1–1
Sasso Marconi Zola3–1
Sangiovannese1–0Head to Head · 2 matches
San Donato TavarnelleLucchese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lucchese- ●Lucchese have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lucchese have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lucchese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lucchese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●68% of Lucchese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lucchese have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
San Donato- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of San Donato Tavarnelle's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LuccheseGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1Sasso Marconi Zola0–2Ternana2–2Grassina6–3Robur Siena3–2Rondinella0–0Terranuova Traiana01/11San Donato Tavarnelle08/11Gavorrano15/11San DonatoScandicci1–2Tau Altopascio1–0Prato0–2Mezzolara1–1Flaminia1–2Gavorrano0–2Montevarchi Calcio01/11Lucchese08/11Robur Siena15/11Top Scorers
LuccheseSan Donato