San Donato Tavarnelle vs Montevarchi Calcio — Serie D - Girone E
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San Donato Tavarnelle and Montevarchi Calcio meet in the Serie D - Girone E 2026 season on 1 November 2026. San Donato Tavarnelle have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Montevarchi Calcio have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for San Donato Tavarnelle and 1.07 for Montevarchi Calcio. The models give San Donato Tavarnelle a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Montevarchi Calcio win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
San Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| San Donato | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 86% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 29% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 14% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| San Donato | Home | Away | Montevarchi Calcio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 80% | 86% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 43% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 20% | 14% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Donato | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 67% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Donato | Montevarchi Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
San Donato (H)
Tau Altopascio1–0
Mezzolara1–1
Gavorrano0–2
Seravezza2–1
Robur Siena1–1Seravezza1–1Montevarchi Calcio (A)
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0
Ternana1–4Robur Siena0–3Seravezza1–1
Lucchese1–2
Prato0–1Head to Head · 10 matches
Montevarchi CalcioSan Donato TavarnelleSan Donato TavarnelleSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioSan Donato TavarnelleMontevarchi CalcioSan Donato Tavarnelle| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prato | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | Seravezza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 4 | Lucchese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ternana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 12 |
| 8 |  Scandicci | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Mezzolara | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
San Donato- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●San Donato Tavarnelle failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of San Donato Tavarnelle's goals conceded were conceded away.
Montevarchi Calcio- ●Montevarchi Calcio have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Montevarchi Calcio failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Montevarchi Calcio's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
San DonatoScandicci1–2Tau Altopascio1–0Prato0–2Mezzolara1–1Flaminia1–2Gavorrano0–2Montevarchi Calcio01/11Lucchese08/11Robur Siena15/11Montevarchi CalcioGrassina1–0Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0Rondinella0–1Ternana1–4Progresso2–0Robur Siena0–3San Donato Tavarnelle01/11Sasso Marconi Zola08/11Flaminia15/11Top Scorers
San DonatoMontevarchi CalcioCards Given
San DonatoMontevarchi Calcio